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UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · breakdown

UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura - Quick Picks & Official Bets

UF UFConsultant
19 months ago 6W–6L · -1.0u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
CH Chase Hooper v Clay Guida MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going with Chase Hooper here but minus 1150 there's not really any value these guys have fought in a grappling match up before where Chase Hooper got the submission win and he is on a two-fight submission winning streak so I wouldn't mind taking Hooper by sub here once those lines come out but Hooper is the pick here”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.12 close$1.10
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
MC Michael Chiesa v Max Griffin MONEYLINE WON
“give me Michael Chiesa the March forward make this fight gritty get the takedowns and get the win”
Line since pick CLV +8%
◆ entry$2.07 close$1.92
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
JV Joshua Van v Cody Durden MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking van here he's 10 years younger he has good combos good power and I think he's going to be too fast on the feet as long as he could defend the takedowns he should get the win here”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.68 close$1.67
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
CW Chris Weidman v Eryk Anders MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm rocking with Chris Weidman he has good wrestling solid striking and he's just going to be the more technical guy in there as long as he could avoid Andre's big Power shots widman gets it done here”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.00 close$2.00
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
RB Randy Brown v Bryan Battle MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm picking Randy Brown I got him at plus 205 and he is our Underdog of the week because I don't see this fight the ground and in that case we have Randy Brown tall lanky good footwork slick striking in and out as a plus 205 in a fight that'll stay on the feet even if it does go to the ground Randy Brown's not a fish out of water he's a BJJ black belt I'm taking that all day there's plenty of value there cuz I see this fight being a lot closer than these odds suggest give me rude boy as the pick”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.95 close$2.90
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
ME Movsar Evloev v Aljamain Sterling MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going with Movsar Evloev here what's Al's way to win this fight take the back and try to find a submission I don't see Aljamain Sterling backpacking evlo for five rounds here Evo has solid striking very good wrestling very good cardio and if you go back and watch his fight aCiryl Ganest Diego Lopez he got caught in a couple dangerous submissions he stays calm he finds a way out give me Movsar Evloev as the pick here”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.44
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
TG Themba Gorimbo v Vicente Luque MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm rocking with Themba Gorimbo here I think he gets the takedowns and he gets the win”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.68 close$1.67
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
AS Anthony Smith v Dominick Reyes MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm picking Reyes to win here since Anthony Smith just got outstruck three rounds to Roman the Leeds but both of these guys are very chinny so be very careful with this fight Reyes is the pick though”
Line since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$3.80 close$4.10
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
NL Nate Landwehr v Choi Doo-ho MONEYLINE LOST
“give me Nate Landwehr get the win here next up we got Bryce Mitchell taking on KW Gracie and this is a fight that Mitchell needs to win he got knocked out by emt's last fight out and it was a nasty knockout but good thing for him he took time off it's been almost a year since then and another good thing for him he's going up aCiryl Ganest a guy that doesn't exactly have stones in his hands Gracie has very good Jujutsu and his only way to win this fight is to find a submission but he sucks everywhere else and it's not going to be easy to find a submission aCiryl Ganest Bryce Mitchell the last person to do so was ilot Toria and how did he do it he hurt Mitchell on the feet and then got the sub graci is striking is nowhere near to porus to hurt Mitchell on the feet give me Mitchell as the pick”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
IG Ian Machado Garry v Shavkat Rakhmonov MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going with Gary here they trained together before and the fact that Gary even took this fight in the first place tells me he's comfortable with this matchup he knows something he has a game plan give me Gary as the big Underdog here”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
AP Alexandre Pantoja v Kai Asakura MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going with Alexandre Pantoja all day here plenty of five round experience aCiryl Ganest absolute dogs he beat EG beat royval twice beat Moreno he has great wrestling great Jiu-Jitsu and he has a pretty good chin on him the reason that say that last part is because Kay Sakura is coming off back-to-back knockout wins he's making his UFC debut here fighting for the belt which is kind of crazy he's a good Striker but Alexandre Pantoja is Relentless he's going to keep coming forward shooting takedowns and he might even get a submission give me Alexandre Pantoja as the pick”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.42
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
CG Ciryl Gane v Alexander Volkov MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking Ciryl Gane here and for a Main Event someone's o has to go we got Shavkat Rakhmonov taking on Ian Gary and guys before you come at me hear me out shaa doesn't come at you 100 milph shooting takedowns like a Cham would he marches forward with his chin in the air he gets hit clinches you up then looks to take you down this could be tough aCiryl Ganest a guy like Gary who's in and out who dances around the octagon has no problem at all making a fight boring to get the win and the fact that this is a five round fight shot's cardio hasn't been tested yet Gary's fought five rounds before in cage Warriors so I'm going with Gary here they trained together before and the fact that Gary even took this fight in the first place tells me he's comfortable with this matchup he knows something he has a game plan give me Gary as the big Underdog here and for our main event we got Alexandre Alexandre Pantoja taking on Kai Asakura I'm going with Alexandre Pantoja all day here plenty of five round experience aCiryl Ganest absolute dogs he beat EG beat royval twice beat Moreno he has great wrestling great Jiu-Jitsu and he has a pretty good chin on him the reason that say that last part is because Kay Sakura is coming off back-to-back knockout wins he's making his UFC debut here fighting for the belt which is kind of crazy he's a good Striker but Alexandre Pantoja is Relentless he's going to keep coming forward shooting takedowns and he might even get a submission give me Alexandre Pantoja as the pick and now we move to our official bets guys but first if you're enjoying the video make sure to like comment subscribe but let's take a look at our bets we have seven so far first up we got point4 units on the Ian Machado Garry at plus 295 next up Underdog of the week half of you know Randy Brown we got him at plus 205 odds right when I saw those lines I knew they were off the odds are coming down now I like the value and I think it's going to be a closer fight than people think next up our safety bet of the week and speaking of safety bet guys we're 7 and one on our safety bet record and if you don't know what that means my safety bets are one to two fighters that we could get around plus 100 to minus 150 which I think have the best chance of winning and this week that's Alexandre Alexandre Pantoja and Movsar Evloev with we have 1 and 1/2 units on that at - 109 next up we got 85 units on Nate the train and Ciryl Gane at plus 120 another part we got Josh van and Bryce Mitchell 85 units at minus 113 next up we got4 units on Chris Weidman paired up with evlo at plus 158 and last but not least we got point4 units on Themba Gorimbo and Alexandre Pantoja at plus 120 that's all I got for you so far make sure to join the Discord below for Real Time updates cuz I do post more bets on there when I place them from now until Saturday if you enjoyed the video make sure to like comment subscribe I'm the ultimate fighting consultant and I'll see you in the next one”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.31
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish