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KA
Pantoja vs AsakuraMain Card · Flyweight
SR
IG
Rakhmonov vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
CG
AV
Gane vs VolkovMain Card · Heavyweight
BM
KG
Mitchell vs GracieMain Card · Featherweight
CD
NL
Doo-ho vs LandwehrMain Card · Featherweight
DR
AS
Reyes vs SmithPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VL
TG
Luque vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
ME
AS
Evloev vs SterlingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BB
RB
Battle vs BrownPreliminary Card · Catchweight
EA
CW
Anders vs WeidmanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JV
CD
Van vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
MC
MG
Chiesa vs GriffinEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
CH
CG
Hooper vs GuidaEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
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Nzechukwu vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Gorimbo v Luque
Welterweight
Our fair value
$1.65
best price $1.65
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Gorimbo
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.65
US
FanDuel
$1.65
+0%
FanDuel
$1.65
+0%
UK
Grosvenor
$1.62
-2%
Grosvenor
$1.62
-2%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.65
+0%
Pinnacle
$1.65
+0%
AU
Bet Right
$1.65
+0%
Bet Right
$1.65
+0%
How it endsmethod calls · Gorimbo · crowd line
KO/TKO
8
$2.47
Decision
4
$4.95
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Luque 0-0
VS
14-6 Gorimbo
5'11"
height
6'1"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
76"
reach
77"
34
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
6.0
strikes landed / min
3.1
57%
striking accuracy
61%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
1.1
55%
striking defence
56%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
4.9
69%
takedown accuracy
65%
60%
takedown defence
82%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 61%
Consensus24 of 38 analysts
Sharpest angleGorimbo by KO/TKO — 8 of 12 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Vicente Luque
“I'm gonna take Vicente Luque”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Vicente Luque
“I'm gonna take Vicente Luque”
BE
BetSam picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I'm liking timber grimbo here to blanket vente luk”
BetSam picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I'm liking timber grimbo here to blanket vente luk”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“I think this one is going not the distance yeah yeah I don't think it's going to distance at all um yeah we just move on from that one uh the price tag came down uh themma gria opened up a minus 200 now he's down to a minus 160 the Marcus moving in favor of Vicente Luque”
Tony's Picks picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“I think this one is going not the distance yeah yeah I don't think it's going to distance at all um yeah we just move on from that one uh the price tag came down uh themma gria opened up a minus 200 now he's down to a minus 160 the Marcus moving in favor of Vicente Luque”
UT
UFC Addict TV picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“Themba Gorimbo at 162 minus to I like it you luk has been on a slide he's lost three or four”
$1.62
UFC Addict TV picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“Themba Gorimbo at 162 minus to I like it you luk has been on a slide he's lost three or four”
$1.62
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“my matchup of the week I'm going to go with Themba Gorimbo versus Vicente Luque... I really like Themba Gorimbo”
Mayo Media Network picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“my matchup of the week I'm going to go with Themba Gorimbo versus Vicente Luque... I really like Themba Gorimbo”
WP
We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I think TMA gimbo if he sticks with the wrestling that we've seen from him lately can do to viente what we saw balah Muhammad do a few years ago and can make it happen he's the bigger stronger younger actually I don't think he is younger he's he's older but he's the bigger stronger guy at the peak of his career”
We Want Picks picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I think TMA gimbo if he sticks with the wrestling that we've seen from him lately can do to viente what we saw balah Muhammad do a few years ago and can make it happen he's the bigger stronger younger actually I don't think he is younger he's he's older but he's the bigger stronger guy at the peak of his career”
HM
Hugo Ferraz MMA picks Themba Gorimbo
“so yeah Themba Gorimbo for the win”
Hugo Ferraz MMA picks Themba Gorimbo
“so yeah Themba Gorimbo for the win”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I love Wen Buckley I'm very glad new Mana is on the rise”
Ain't No Way MMA picks Themba Gorimbo VALUE
“I love Wen Buckley I'm very glad new Mana is on the rise”
JU
JussJustin picks Vicente Luque
“I'm going to go with him”
JussJustin picks Vicente Luque
“I'm going to go with him”
O0
OWYH 0912 picks Themba Gorimbo
“I'm going to go with Themba Gorimbo I'm just going to ride with the prospect the newer guy”
OWYH 0912 picks Themba Gorimbo
“I'm going to go with Themba Gorimbo I'm just going to ride with the prospect the newer guy”
UT
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Themba Gorimbo
“49 channels out of 74 or 66% are picking Themba Gorimbo to win”
$1.65
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Themba Gorimbo
“49 channels out of 74 or 66% are picking Themba Gorimbo to win”
$1.65
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Luque0-0
W
Gastelum
Apr '26
L
Álvarez
Oct '25
L
Holland
Jun '25
W
Gorimbo
Dec '24
L
Buckley
Mar '24
Gorimbo14-6
L
Micallef
May '26
L
Wells
Nov '25
L
Luque
Dec '24
W
Price
Oct '24
W
Brahimaj
May '24