Choose a fight to analyse
AP
KA
Pantoja vs AsakuraMain Card · Flyweight
SR
IG
Rakhmonov vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
CG
AV
Gane vs VolkovMain Card · Heavyweight
BM
KG
Mitchell vs GracieMain Card · Featherweight
CD
NL
Doo-ho vs LandwehrMain Card · Featherweight
DR
AS
Reyes vs SmithPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VL
TG
Luque vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
ME
AS
Evloev vs SterlingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BB
RB
Battle vs BrownPreliminary Card · Catchweight
EA
CW
Anders vs WeidmanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JV
CD
Van vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
MC
MG
Chiesa vs GriffinEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
CH
CG
Hooper vs GuidaEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
ŁB
Nzechukwu vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
KA
Pantoja vs AsakuraMain Card · Flyweight
SR
IG
Rakhmonov vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
CG
AV
Gane vs VolkovMain Card · Heavyweight
BM
KG
Mitchell vs GracieMain Card · Featherweight
CD
NL
Doo-ho vs LandwehrMain Card · Featherweight
DR
AS
Reyes vs SmithPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VL
TG
Luque vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
ME
AS
Evloev vs SterlingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BB
RB
Battle vs BrownPreliminary Card · Catchweight
EA
CW
Anders vs WeidmanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JV
CD
Van vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
MC
MG
Chiesa vs GriffinEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
CH
CG
Hooper vs GuidaEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
ŁB
Nzechukwu vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Pantoja
over Asakura · Flyweight
Our fair value$1.39
pays above fair
$1.41
Best prices · Pantoja
BetOnline.ag · US
$1.38
LiveScore Bet · UK
$1.37
Coolbet · EU
$1.41
Bet Right · AU
$1.38
Where to back Pantoja
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.39
US
BetOnline.ag
$1.38
-0%
BetOnline.ag
$1.38
-0%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$1.37
-1%
LiveScore Bet
$1.37
-1%
EU
Coolbet
$1.41
+2%
Coolbet
$1.41
+2%
AU
Bet Right
$1.38
-0%
Bet Right
$1.38
-0%
How it endsmethod calls · Pantoja · crowd line
KO/TKO
10
$7.07
Submission
28
$2.52
Decision
12
$5.89
None
1
$70.66
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pantoja 28-5
VS
21-6 Asakura
5'5"
height
5'8"
125 lb
weight
126 lb
67"
reach
69"
36
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
0.0
49%
striking accuracy
0%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
0.0
50%
striking defence
0%
2.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
47%
takedown accuracy
0%
68%
takedown defence
0%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market72% vs 71%
Consensus72 of 93 analysts
Sharpest anglePantoja by Submission — 28 of 51 method calls
Recommendation
Back Pantoja @ $1.41 · fair $1.39
+2% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kai Asakura VALUE
“I am on Kai Asakura”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kai Asakura VALUE
“I am on Kai Asakura”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alexandre Pantoja
“None”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alexandre Pantoja
“None”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“I'm going to be going with with Alexandre Pantoja”
The Rambling Dad picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“I'm going to be going with with Alexandre Pantoja”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Kai Asakura VALUE
“I'm going to be going with with Kai Asakura”
The Rambling Dad picks Kai Asakura VALUE
“I'm going to be going with with Kai Asakura”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Alexandre Pantoja
“my pick is Alexandre Pantoja ... I got Alexandre Pantoja all day fight I can't do it I got Alexandre Pantoja ... I still got to take Alexandre Pantoja”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Alexandre Pantoja
“my pick is Alexandre Pantoja ... I got Alexandre Pantoja all day fight I can't do it I got Alexandre Pantoja ... I still got to take Alexandre Pantoja”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kai Asakura
“the simulations have Kai Asakura coming out on top winning three out of five simulations with two simulation victories by decision and one simulation Victory by technical knockout in the fifth round”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kai Asakura
“the simulations have Kai Asakura coming out on top winning three out of five simulations with two simulation victories by decision and one simulation Victory by technical knockout in the fifth round”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Alexandre Pantoja
“Alexandre Pantoja had two simulation victories with one simulation Victory by decision and one simulation Victory by submission in the fourth round”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Alexandre Pantoja
“Alexandre Pantoja had two simulation victories with one simulation Victory by decision and one simulation Victory by submission in the fourth round”
EB
ESPN BET picks Kai Asakura
“oakura is a threat there's no question just get away from that power”
ESPN BET picks Kai Asakura
“oakura is a threat there's no question just get away from that power”
_O
_Octagon_Insights_ picks Alexandre Pantoja
“my picks for the main card are going to be Alexandre Alexandre Pantoja to defeat Kai Asakura”
_Octagon_Insights_ picks Alexandre Pantoja
“my picks for the main card are going to be Alexandre Alexandre Pantoja to defeat Kai Asakura”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kai Asakura
“The simulations have Kai Asakura coming out on top winning three out of five simulations”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kai Asakura
“The simulations have Kai Asakura coming out on top winning three out of five simulations”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Kai Asakura VALUE
“I do think Kai Asakuraen and chck is the side as well and I do like the over one and a half in well in here”
Tony's Picks picks Kai Asakura VALUE
“I do think Kai Asakuraen and chck is the side as well and I do like the over one and a half in well in here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pantoja28-5
L
Van
Dec '25
W
Kara-France
Jun '25
W
Asakura
Dec '24
W
Erceg
May '24
W
Royval
Dec '23
Asakura21-6
W
Smotherman
May '26
L
Elliott
Aug '25
L
Pantoja
Dec '24