MMA Prophecy
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UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
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AP KA Pantoja vs AsakuraMain Card · Flyweight SR IG Rakhmonov vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight CG AV Gane vs VolkovMain Card · Heavyweight BM KG Mitchell vs GracieMain Card · Featherweight CD NL Doo-ho vs LandwehrMain Card · Featherweight DR AS Reyes vs SmithPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight VL TG Luque vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight ME AS Evloev vs SterlingPreliminary Card · Featherweight BB RB Battle vs BrownPreliminary Card · Catchweight EA CW Anders vs WeidmanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight JV CD Van vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight MC MG Chiesa vs GriffinEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight CH CG Hooper vs GuidaEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight KN ŁB Nzechukwu vs BrzeskiEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Reyes v Smith Light Heavyweight Our fair value $1.29 best price $1.27 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Reyes best price · region · EV vs fair $1.29
US BetOnline.ag $1.27 -2%
UK Grosvenor $1.25 -3%
EU Pinnacle $1.25 -3%
AU Unibet $1.25 -3%
Consensus56 picks · conf 71/99
Reyes 44
12 Smith
HOEOEA pick Reyes
How it endsmethod calls · Reyes · crowd line
KO/TKO 30 $1.46
Decision 2 $21.95
None 2 $21.95
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Reyes 15-5 VS 38-20 Smith
6'4" height 6'4"
206 lb weight 206 lb
77" reach 76"
36 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.0 strikes landed / min 3.2
43% striking accuracy 49%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
70% striking defence 46%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
73% takedown accuracy 26%
68% takedown defence 50%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market77% vs 79%
Consensus44 of 56 analysts
Sharpest angleReyes by KO/TKO — 30 of 34 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GP Greedo Plays picks Anthony Smith VALUE “Anthony Smith's going to be a big you know big help Off the Bench too let's get it done Orlando at home against the Suns we like them to win we like them to cover the one and a half”
BS B ALL N Sports picks Dominick Reyes “my next pick is money line grimbo money line”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dominick Reyes “None”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Anthony Smith “None”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Anthony Smith VALUE “I'm going with Anthony Smith on this one”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “I'm going to pick dominant ryers”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Dominick Reyes “my pick is gonna be Dominick Reyes ... yeah Dominick Reyes all day long all on Dominick Reyes”
EM Elijah House MMA picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “I'm going Dominick Reyes first Dominick Reyes I just think he's going to catch him the first clean combo is going to Rock Anthony he's going to drop him finish him Rays coming off a very good win”
EB ESPN BET picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “Dominick Reyes over Anthony”
HP High Low Sports Podcast picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “give me Dominick Reyes comfortably” $1.29
M👊 MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Dominick Reyes “the simulations have Dominick Reyes coming out on top winning four out of five simulations”
M👊 MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Dominick Reyes “the simulations have Dominick Dominick Reyes coming out on top winning four out of five simulations”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Reyes15-5
W Walker Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Ulberg KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Krylov KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Smith KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
W Jacoby KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
Smith38-20
L Mingyang KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Reyes KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
L Dolidze Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Petrino Submission · R1 May '24
L Jr. KO/TKO · R3 Dec '23