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Rakhmonov vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
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Gane vs VolkovMain Card · Heavyweight
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Mitchell vs GracieMain Card · Featherweight
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Doo-ho vs LandwehrMain Card · Featherweight
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Reyes vs SmithPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VL
TG
Luque vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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AS
Evloev vs SterlingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BB
RB
Battle vs BrownPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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CW
Anders vs WeidmanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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CD
Van vs DurdenEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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Chiesa vs GriffinEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mitchell v Gracie
Featherweight
Our fair value
$1.16
best price $1.12
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Mitchell
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.16
US
BetRivers
$1.12
-3%
BetRivers
$1.12
-3%
UK
Virgin Bet
$1.12
-3%
Virgin Bet
$1.12
-3%
EU
Unibet (EU)
$1.12
-3%
Unibet (EU)
$1.12
-3%
AU
TABtouch
$1.12
-3%
TABtouch
$1.12
-3%
How it endsmethod calls · Mitchell · crowd line
KO/TKO
10
$4.29
Submission
4
$10.73
Decision
22
$1.95
None
1
$42.92
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mitchell 18-4
VS
5-2 Gracie
5'10"
height
5'9"
136 lb
weight
144 lb
70"
reach
70"
31
age
37
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
2.3
strikes landed / min
3.7
58%
striking accuracy
44%
1.6
strikes absorbed / min
6.8
58%
striking defence
53%
3.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
41%
takedown accuracy
25%
33%
takedown defence
0%
1.6
submissions / 15 min
0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market86% vs 89%
Consensus56 of 65 analysts
Sharpest angleMitchell by Decision — 22 of 37 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“give me the Cs to win this basketball game they'll cover the three and a half points as well”
Greedo Plays picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“give me the Cs to win this basketball game they'll cover the three and a half points as well”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Kron Gracie
“I still like Kron Gracie here... I'm gonna say cron Kron Gracie”
B ALL N Sports picks Kron Gracie
“I still like Kron Gracie here... I'm gonna say cron Kron Gracie”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“I'm picking Bryce Mitchell”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“I'm picking Bryce Mitchell”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Kron Gracie
“I guarantee you that gra by sub think genuinely CR Kron Gracie might be a definitely better than gra Kron Gracie on the like Kron Gracie but then might he might want like a Kron Gracie see how well he does I”
The Rambling Dad picks Kron Gracie
“I guarantee you that gra by sub think genuinely CR Kron Gracie might be a definitely better than gra Kron Gracie on the like Kron Gracie but then might he might want like a Kron Gracie see how well he does I”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“I'm going with Bryce metell”
The Rambling Dad picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“I'm going with Bryce metell”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“who would you pick for Bryce Mitchell Kron Gracie I got Bryce Mitchell too”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“who would you pick for Bryce Mitchell Kron Gracie I got Bryce Mitchell too”
EB
ESPN BET picks Kron Gracie VALUE
“I'm taking a shot of plus 550 and then Nate land Weir taking on Choi Doo-ho”
$6.50
ESPN BET picks Kron Gracie VALUE
“I'm taking a shot of plus 550 and then Nate land Weir taking on Choi Doo-ho”
$6.50
_O
_Octagon_Insights_ picks Bryce Mitchell
“or Bryce Mitchell to beat uh Kron Gracie”
_Octagon_Insights_ picks Bryce Mitchell
“or Bryce Mitchell to beat uh Kron Gracie”
HP
High Low Sports Podcast picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“Bryce Mitchell should win this fight easily”
High Low Sports Podcast picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“Bryce Mitchell should win this fight easily”
MB
Michael Bisping picks Bryce Mitchell
“I do believe Bryce Mitchell will get it done he's got more experience I believe he's got the grappling to shut down Kon Gracie”
Michael Bisping picks Bryce Mitchell
“I do believe Bryce Mitchell will get it done he's got more experience I believe he's got the grappling to shut down Kon Gracie”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“Bryce Mitchell gets a club and sub”
Ain't No Way MMA picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE
“Bryce Mitchell gets a club and sub”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“the over two and A2 being so chalky means that you guys should be playing Bryce Mitchell to win by decision because that's probably going to be the way that he's going to win I'm taking a shot on kown Gracie in here”
Tony's Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“the over two and A2 being so chalky means that you guys should be playing Bryce Mitchell to win by decision because that's probably going to be the way that he's going to win I'm taking a shot on kown Gracie in here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mitchell18-4
W
Luna
Jun '26
W
Nurmagomedov
Jul '25
L
Silva
Apr '25
W
Gracie
Dec '24
L
Emmett
Dec '23
Gracie5-2
L
Mitchell
Dec '24
L
Jourdain
May '23
L
Swanson
Oct '19
W
Caceres
Feb '19