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P Welsh
UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape · breakdown

UFC Royval vs Kape Fight Night | 12/13/25 Picks, Predictions, & Full Card Breakdown

PW P Welsh59% hit
6 months ago 5W–3L · +0.9u 8/11 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JH Jamey-Lyn Horth v Tereza Bledá MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking Jamey-Lyn Horth.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.30 → close$2.40
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
AF Allen Frye v Guilherme Pat MONEYLINE LOST
“I like Allen Frye here.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.47 → close$2.50
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
NM Neil Magny v Yaroslav Amosov MONEYLINE LOST
“I like Neil Magny here.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$4.70 → close$4.50
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
JB Joanderson Brito v Melsik Baghdasaryan MONEYLINE
“Joanderson Brito third round decision”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.41 → now$1.43
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MC Melquizael Costa v Morgan Charrière MONEYLINE WON
“I got Melquizael Costa decision third round.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.97 → close$1.95
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
SA Steven Asplund v Sean Sharaf MONEYLINE WON —
“maybe I'll go Steven Asplund here just because Junior Tafa Steven Asplund with the first Steven Asplund still hasn't proved that like knockout power.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.49 → close$1.47
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
GR Gillian Robertson v Amanda Lemos MONEYLINE —
“I'm very high on Gillian Robertson here. ... Lock it in. Gillian Robertson”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.61 → now$1.56
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
LS Luana Santos v Melissa Croden MONEYLINE WON —
“I like Luana Santos so yeah I'm just going Luana Santos”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.77 → close$1.83
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
KN Kennedy Nzechukwu v Marcus Buchecha MONEYLINE —
“this is in Kennedy Nzechukwu Kennedy Nzechukwu all day, baby. Um, he probably knocks out Marcus Buchecha”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.74 → now$1.85
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
CA César Almeida v Cezary Oleksiejczuk MONEYLINE LOST —
“picking César Almeida, man. ... win versus Cezary Oleksiejczuk”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.80 → close$2.80
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
KV Kevin Vallejos v Giga Chikadze MONEYLINE WON —
“Uh Kevin Vallejos love Kevin Vallejos here. Um I'm very high on him. lights put out. Kevin Vallejos is the real deal... I think he could win it late.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.40 → close$1.35
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish