UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
BA
Brendan Allen
v Paul Craig
MONEYLINE
WON
Brendan Allen
v Paul Craig
MONEYLINE
WON
“for me this is a really bad stylistic match up for poor Paul Craig which makes this a very dead fight for betting because you know you can't can't bet Brendan Allen at these odds the odds are absolutely terrible there's no upside in betting him um but if you bet Paul Paul Craig outside of something very very unlikely and improbable happening I think you're just setting fire to your money”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
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close$1.25
entry: Betr (AU) · best in any region at publish
MM
Michael Morales
v Jake Matthews
MONEYLINE
WON
Michael Morales
v Jake Matthews
MONEYLINE
WON
“more often than not I think Matthews loses so if we consider the over under on this match up uh set over one and a half rounds or over two two and a half under two and a half in the even many yards range for me for me personally I do think it's more likely this fight goes deeper”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.38
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close$1.34
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
CH
Chase Hooper
v Jordan Leavitt
MONEYLINE
WON
Chase Hooper
v Jordan Leavitt
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'd be very surprised if Jordan Leavitt got the win EVENT_DETAILS of course L it wife partner girlfriend I don't know exactly what she is it's also very close to giving birth that could be a distraction uh but we can't re quantify the impact that has on lit's mentality going in this matchup maybe it's a distraction which is detrimental to his performance maybe it's a huge motivating factor because he needs to earn as much money as possible with a new baby on the way very difficult to gauge which way it's going to go so best not to speculate on it uh but yeah very good stylistic match of a Hooper and I'd expect him to win EVENT_DETAILS”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.51
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close$1.51
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
PT
Payton Talbott
v Nick Aguirre
MONEYLINE
WON
Payton Talbott
v Nick Aguirre
MONEYLINE
WON
“for me talber significantly better than aguer everywhere much much much much much better Striker much more technical um great cardio decent grappling very difficult fight for Nick Aguirre this I would not expect this to be competitive”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.14
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close$1.14
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AR
Amanda Ribas
v Luana Pinheiro
MONEYLINE
WON
Amanda Ribas
v Luana Pinheiro
MONEYLINE
WON
“Rebus is the favorite at average odds of around 1.4 1 which is going to be minus 244 for an imply probability of 71% we take a look at the odds on Luana Pinheiro she is around an average of 2.90 which is going to be plus 190 for an imply probability of 34%”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44
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close$1.44
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish