MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Talbott v Aguirre Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus21 picks · conf 44/99
Talbott 19
2 Aguirre
PDTT1M pick Talbott
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Talbott 9-0 VS 7-2 Aguirre
5'10" height 5'9"
135 lb weight —
70" reach —
27 age 30
Switch stance Southpaw
8.4 strikes landed / min 0.7
55% striking accuracy 33%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
51% striking defence 45%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
0% takedown accuracy 20%
90% takedown defence 33%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Payton Talbott “so for that reason I'm going to pick um Payton Talbott”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Payton Talbott “going to go with Payton Talbott but this is high degree of confidence but this is such an iffy fight” $1.12
DG Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Payton Talbott “for me talber significantly better than aguer everywhere much much much much much better Striker much more technical um great cardio decent grappling very difficult fight for Nick Aguirre this I would not expect this to be competitive”
TP The City Life Project picks Payton Talbott VALUE “we're going T we're going pton T” $1.13
SD Santino DeFranco picks Payton Talbott VALUE “Tat's gonna win this”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Payton Talbott “talbet is my pick here”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Nick Aguirre “Nick Aguirre at uh 6,700 if he wins I think it's a first round sub”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Payton Talbott VALUE “I'm more so on the toot side I think Payton Talbott has a ton of upside here”
PR Premium-Picks picks Nick Aguirre VALUE “I would chase the dog” $7.00
PR Premium-Picks picks Payton Talbott “yes he's probably going to win by knockout” $1.10
TP The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Nick Aguirre VALUE “I took a Nick Aguirre shot plus 550” $6.50
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Payton Talbott “give me Payton Talbott to win this fight in very dominant fashion tabut by second round finish” $1.12
Recent form last five, most recent first
Talbott9-0
W Cejudo Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Lima Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Ghemmouri KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Saaiman KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
Aguirre7-2
L Talbott Submission · R3 Nov '23
L Argueta Decision · R3 Jan '23