MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Saragih v Alexander Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus30 picks · conf 54/99
Saragih 6
24 Alexander
TT1CUP pick Saragih
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Saragih 14-4 VS 8-4 Alexander
5'8" height 5'11"
145 lb weight 145 lb
69" reach 73"
31 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.7 strikes landed / min 5.2
50% striking accuracy 55%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 1.8
41% striking defence 71%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
80% takedown accuracy 0%
66% takedown defence 57%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Jeka Saragih VALUE “I'm going to say CharleJeka Saragih JoJeka Saragihe JohnJeka Saragihon to win”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Lucas Alexander “Lucas Alexander will be the pick um High degree of confidence possibly a parlay Buster” $1.17
TP The City Life Project picks Lucas Alexander VALUE “I am going with Lukas Alexander” $1.19
OB OddsShopper Sports Betting picks Jeka Saragih “I do think that he will get the victory in that main event”
OB OddsShopper Sports Betting picks Lucas Alexander VALUE “I do see the technical aspect where Lucas Alexander is much better”
WP We Want Picks picks Lucas Alexander VALUE “Lucas is the pick very clear I don't see jao winning this fight outside of finding that big Power which he has found before Lucas is going to be the pick here”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Lucas Alexander “I'm picking Lucas Alexander I think he should be pretty good to go as far as out striking Jaa sadig I feel like he's the more technical Muay Tha Striker” $1.20
SD Santino DeFranco picks Lucas Alexander “I like Lucas Alexander here” $1.18
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Lucas Alexander “Lucas Alexander is going to be my pick”
WP We Want Picks picks Lucas Alexander VALUE “I think Lucas is going to win I'm pretty confident in Lucas to win” $1.20
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Lucas Alexander VALUE “I think he could get a knockout here I think that's live”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jeka Saragih VALUE “I don't hate some shots on Jeka Saragih”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Saragih14-4
L Joo-sang KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
L Wilson Submission · R1 Jun '24
W Alexander KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
L Jubli KO/TKO · R2 Feb '23
Alexander8-4
L Grad KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25
L Saragih KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
W Peterson Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Brito Submission · R1 Oct '22