MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ribas v Pinheiro Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus28 picks · conf 52/99
Ribas 22
6 Pinheiro
CTPDBT pick Ribas
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ribas 12-5 VS 11-4 Pinheiro
5'3" height 5'2"
116 lb weight 115 lb
66" reach 63"
32 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 3.4
40% striking accuracy 40%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
61% striking defence 61%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
51% takedown accuracy 33%
85% takedown defence 69%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Amanda Ribas “after a closer analysis um I decided to go with Amanda Ribas”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Amanda Ribas “going to go with the mandere bus uh moving on”
DG Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Amanda Ribas “Rebus is the favorite at average odds of around 1.4 1 which is going to be minus 244 for an imply probability of 71% we take a look at the odds on Luana Pinheiro she is around an average of 2.90 which is going to be plus 190 for an imply probability of 34%”
TP The City Life Project picks Amanda Ribas VALUE “I'm going with Mander Reus” $1.42
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Luana Pinheiro “I'll pick Luana Pinheiro to win but count me out of throwing any [__] cash down count me out” $1.43
SD Santino DeFranco picks Amanda Ribas “Amanda Ribas we already talked about that”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Amanda Ribas “I do think that Amanda Ribas gets it done for this fight”
CM CHOL MMA picks Amanda Ribas “going with the Mana... I got to pick Amanda Ribas here just because she has shown to be at a pretty solid level... I trust her to win this by decision”
TP The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Amanda Ribas VALUE “I'm gonna side with Amanda heus”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Luana Pinheiro “I'm going to pick Luana Pinheiro to win this fight by decision” $1.43
TO The Golden Octagon picks Luana Pinheiro VALUE “give me the plus 200 dog to defeat Amanda Ribas” $2.95
TO The Golden Octagon picks Amanda Ribas “give me the dog the basically plus 200 dog to defeat Amanda Ribas” $1.42
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ribas12-5
L Ricci KO/TKO · R2 Jul '25
L Dern Submission · R3 Jan '25
L Namajunas Decision · R5 Mar '24
W Pinheiro KO/TKO · R3 Nov '23
L Barber KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
Pinheiro11-4
L Pennington Decision · R3 May '25
L Robertson Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Hill Submission · R2 May '24
L Ribas KO/TKO · R3 Nov '23
W Waterson-Gomez Decision · R3 Apr '23