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Talbott vs AguirreMain Card · Bantamweight
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Ribas vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Orolbai vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
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Brito vs PearcePreliminary Card · Featherweight
JJ
CA
Johnson vs AnheligerPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Duncan vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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CM
Parkin vs MachadoPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Saragih vs AlexanderPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Pérez vs PudilováPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Leroy Duncan v Tiuliulin
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Leroy Duncan 13-2
VS
10-10 Tiuliulin
6'2"
height
6'1"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
79"
reach
77"
30
age
38
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
3.6
62%
striking accuracy
41%
3.6
strikes absorbed / min
5.2
49%
striking defence
38%
0.3
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
14%
takedown accuracy
42%
64%
takedown defence
72%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Denis Tiuliulin
“I think Leroy wins this fight especially because Denis came in on on short notice”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“Christian Christian Leroy Duncan going to be the pick on this one fairly straightforward”
TP
The City Life Project picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I'm picking Christian Leroy Christian Leroy Duncan to win this one”
$1.26
WP
We Want Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I am going to shoot my shot with Leroy Duncan in my lineup $88,500 is a discount the reason he's only $88,500 if you don't know and you probably know this but DraftKings releases all the fighters and all the pricing at the same time so they've released Christian Leroy Duncan with his original opponent at $88,500 then that opponent dropped they gave him a new opponent in real life in betting on Leroy Duncan is a massive favorite a minus 500 favorite but DraftKings pricing wise I don't know if I could equate the pricing to numbers maybe he's a 200 favorite but the price is already established DraftKings does not change the existing Fighters price you could be a 30 to1 Underdog and then your opponent drops and then they give you an actual infant child to fight and you would still be a 30 to1 Underdog in the pricing department so I I think we got to take this for the gift that it is and uh throw Leroy Duncan in our lineup at $88,500”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I'm gonna pick Christian Leroy Duncan I feel like he's gonna get it done inside of the distance”
$1.20
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I think that Christian Leeward Duncan should get it done”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Denis Tiuliulin
“as far as Dennis I don't really see myself touching him”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I choose Christian Leroy Duncan to win this fight”
$1.22
TP
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I do got a side with Christian Leroy Duncan”
TP
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Denis Tiuliulin
“I don't know how much dog Christian Leroy Duncan has in him if the fight gets dirty I think I favor Dennis tlian”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I'll say Christian Leroy Duncan gets it done I'll say first round knockout”
$1.25
TA
TAJ picks Denis Tiuliulin
“I believe I'll go with Christian Leroy Donan cldd on this one”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Leroy Duncan13-2
W
Dolidze
Mar '26
W
Tulio
Nov '25
W
Anders
Aug '25
W
Pulyaev
Mar '25
L
Rodrigues
Jul '24
Tiuliulin10-10
L
Dumas
Aug '24
L
Duncan
Nov '23
L
Rodrigues
Aug '23
L
Jun-yong
Feb '23
W
Pickett
Sep '22