UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · breakdown
UFC Fight Night Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov - DraftKings Bet and Strategy
DI
DFS Insights
23 months ago
3W–5L · +0.1u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
UN
Umar Nurmagomedov
v Cory Sandhagen
MONEYLINE
WON
Umar Nurmagomedov
v Cory Sandhagen
MONEYLINE
WON
“you're giving Umar Nurmagomedov an extra two rounds to you know to do work um and get more takedowns in that massive control time that he gets”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.32
→
close$1.33
entry: Betr (AU) · best in any region at publish
CS
Cory Sandhagen
v Umar Nurmagomedov
MONEYLINE
LOST
Cory Sandhagen
v Umar Nurmagomedov
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think that's pretty disrespectful to Corey sandhagen personally um as you mentioned he's Cory Sandhagen's been there done that he's been in like 8 five round fights at least it feels like that”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.90
→
close$3.90
entry: NordicBet · best in any region at publish
MC
Michael Chiesa
v Tony Ferguson
MONEYLINE
WON
Michael Chiesa
v Tony Ferguson
MONEYLINE
WON
“the co-main event the mag made off not to be confused with Nur Maga made off uh we'll just call him the B the bullet for now and Michael uh Michał Oleksiejczuk there I'm butcher that so bullets coming in you know over 54 you know 50% inside the distance chance”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.24
→
close$1.24
entry: Marathon Bet · best in any region at publish
TF
Tony Ferguson
v Michael Chiesa
MONEYLINE
LOST
Tony Ferguson
v Michael Chiesa
MONEYLINE
LOST
“our math on however has Ferguson winning um and you know at low ownership 4.2 I might be slightly higher”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$6.00
→
close$6.00
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JH
Jai Herbert
v Rolando Bedoya
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Jai Herbert
v Rolando Bedoya
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“my top three uh favorite leverage pra uh in order uh will be Jai Herbert even though I'm going to be looking at that and maass is predicting bedya uh I like the the Jai Herbert just because he is Vegas does have him coming in um as a 58% favorite”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.83
→
close$1.83
Herbert’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SH
Sam Hughes
v Victoria Dudakova
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Sam Hughes
v Victoria Dudakova
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“on the other side of that with uh Sam Hughes she's coming off a three-fight or she's on a three fight losing streak most of her fights go to the decision”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.50
→
close$2.51
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
VD
Victoria Dudakova
v Sam Hughes
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Victoria Dudakova
v Sam Hughes
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“I like uh Victoria du aova a lot um she's from Dana White's Contender series uh from August 2022 um she won that via decision but she dominated basically all three rounds”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.60
→
close$1.61
Dudakova’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SD
Sedriques Dumas
v Denis Tiuliulin
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Sedriques Dumas
v Denis Tiuliulin
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I like Sedriques Dumas to get the finish and uh yeah so I got bedya Sedriques Dumas um and Joel Alvarez all basically getting the job done here”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.48
Dumas’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted