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UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
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UN CS Nurmagomedov vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight SM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight DF MV Figueiredo vs VeraMain Card · Bantamweight MC TF Chiesa vs FergusonMain Card · Welterweight MD LG Dern vs GodinezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight EB Álvarez vs BrenerMain Card · Lightweight AM AM Murzakanov vs MenifieldPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KF MY Fernandes vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SG DM Gaziev vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight GK JV Kutateladze vs VucenicPreliminary Card · Lightweight SH VD Hughes vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JH RB Herbert vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SD DT Dumas vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nurmagomedov v Sandhagen Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus97 picks · conf 84/99
Nurmagomedov 53
44 Sandhagen
PUJDSB pick Nurmagomedov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nurmagomedov 19-1 VS 18-6 Sandhagen
5'8" height 5'11"
136 lb weight 134 lb
69" reach 70"
30 age 34
Orthodox stance Switch
4.5 strikes landed / min 3.9
63% striking accuracy 53%
1.4 strikes absorbed / min 2.5
63% striking defence 52%
4.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
50% takedown accuracy 66%
100% takedown defence 83%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Brando MMA picks Cory Sandhagen “I picked Cory Sandhagen because I said you know I'm not going to pick a guy that has no ranked wins you got to prove it to me first before I pick you to beat the number two contender in your Division”
MM Mmajessic picks Cory Sandhagen “I'm going to go ahead and pick Cory Sandhagen to win this fight”
ES etoft21 sports picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE “Umar Nurmagomedov's definitely the better Grappler and wrestler... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_2's gonna be all over him so I like I like it my third and final B”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Umar Nurmagomedov “that's probably why I'm leaning towards Umar Nurmagomedov”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE “I think I'm much more likely to have nuraga made off than I am I think Cory Sandhagen is GNA be the over owned one here”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Cory Sandhagen “if you think the fight stays more on the feet then Cory Sandhagen even in a loss could score 70 points”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE “my subscribers and I officially picked Umar Nurmagomedov Nurmagomedov” $1.30
MO Mompeaux picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE “I think this one goes for Umar Nurmagomedov”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE “I do like Umar Naga medov and I think he has some solid upside across 25 minutes”
TM Trips Talks MMA picks Cory Sandhagen VALUE “I believe Cory Sandhagen Sandhagen will beat who Mar Mega met off this weekend so go along walk in that plus 20000 bet and watch the cash roll in”
NM Notorious Pulls MMA picks Umar Nurmagomedov “they have Umar Nurmagomedov as the minus 305 favorite” $1.33
NM Notorious Pulls MMA picks Cory Sandhagen “he's number 10 in the bantamweight rankings and yet the matchmakers have him fighting number two Cory Sandhagen”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nurmagomedov19-1
W Figueiredo Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Bautista Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Jan '25
W Sandhagen Decision · R5 Aug '24
W Almakhan Decision · R3 Mar '24
Sandhagen18-6
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Oct '25
W Figueiredo KO/TKO · R2 May '25
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R5 Aug '24
W Font Decision · R5 Aug '23
W Vera Decision · R5 Mar '23