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Fernandes vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Fernandes v Yahya
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Fernandes 11-2
VS
12-5 Yahya
5'9"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
146 lb
73"
reach
73"
31
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Switch
2.8
strikes landed / min
2.4
64%
striking accuracy
42%
4.9
strikes absorbed / min
5.0
57%
striking defence
38%
2.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
45%
takedown accuracy
100%
58%
takedown defence
42%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BM
Brando MMA picks Kauê Fernandes
“Kauê Fernandes dominated Mohammad Yahya I told you Mohammad Yahya he's terrible um I don't know I don't think anyone is really picking Mohammad Yahya but he's awful he is just abysmal at fighting Kauê Fernandes was Landing really really impressive leg kicks”
Brando MMA picks Kauê Fernandes
“Kauê Fernandes dominated Mohammad Yahya I told you Mohammad Yahya he's terrible um I don't know I don't think anyone is really picking Mohammad Yahya but he's awful he is just abysmal at fighting Kauê Fernandes was Landing really really impressive leg kicks”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Mohammad Yahya VALUE
“I'm going with Mohammad Yahya man I think he can get this one done”
The Rambling Dad picks Mohammad Yahya VALUE
“I'm going with Mohammad Yahya man I think he can get this one done”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Kauê Fernandes
“I'mma go with a favorite um C cow whatever his name is”
The Rambling Dad picks Kauê Fernandes
“I'mma go with a favorite um C cow whatever his name is”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Mohammad Yahya
“oh he's gonna get run over”
The MMA-Holes picks Mohammad Yahya
“oh he's gonna get run over”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mohammad Yahya
“Kauê Fernandes is facing Mohammad Yahya who probably shouldn't be in the UFC”
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mohammad Yahya
“Kauê Fernandes is facing Mohammad Yahya who probably shouldn't be in the UFC”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kauê Fernandes VALUE
“Kauê Fernandes could wrestle and submit Mohammad Yahya in in a minute”
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kauê Fernandes VALUE
“Kauê Fernandes could wrestle and submit Mohammad Yahya in in a minute”
MO
Mompeaux picks Kauê Fernandes
“my pick here is ky fernandz”
Mompeaux picks Kauê Fernandes
“my pick here is ky fernandz”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kauê Fernandes VALUE
“I'm personally picking him to win and winning the first round”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kauê Fernandes VALUE
“I'm personally picking him to win and winning the first round”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kauê Fernandes VALUE
“so Kauê Fernandes is a massive favorite”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kauê Fernandes VALUE
“so Kauê Fernandes is a massive favorite”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Kauê Fernandes VALUE
“I think the submission is going to be there it's going to be live”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Kauê Fernandes VALUE
“I think the submission is going to be there it's going to be live”
ST
SteadyPicks picks Kauê Fernandes
“I'm going K Fernandez”
SteadyPicks picks Kauê Fernandes
“I'm going K Fernandez”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Fernandes11-2
W
Hardwick
Sep '25
W
Kutateladze
Mar '25
W
Yahya
Aug '24
L
Diakiese
Nov '23
Yahya12-5
L
Nguyen
Jul '25
L
Fernandes
Aug '24
L
Peek
Oct '23