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UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
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UN CS Nurmagomedov vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight SM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight DF MV Figueiredo vs VeraMain Card · Bantamweight MC TF Chiesa vs FergusonMain Card · Welterweight MD LG Dern vs GodinezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight JÁ EB Álvarez vs BrenerMain Card · Lightweight AM AM Murzakanov vs MenifieldPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KF MY Fernandes vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SG DM Gaziev vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight GK JV Kutateladze vs VucenicPreliminary Card · Lightweight SH VD Hughes vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JH RB Herbert vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SD DT Dumas vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Figueiredo v Vera Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus71 picks · conf 76/99
Figueiredo 47
24 Vera
APTFTF pick Figueiredo
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Figueiredo 25-6-1 VS 23-11-1 Vera
5'5" height 5'8"
138 lb weight 136 lb
68" reach 70"
38 age 33
Orthodox stance Switch
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.9
44% striking accuracy 46%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
46% striking defence 52%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
37% takedown accuracy 69%
58% takedown defence 66%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Brando MMA picks Deiveson Figueiredo “this was all is going to be an easy win for Deiveson Figueiredo Marlon Vera is one of the worst ranked fighters ever it is an absolute crime that he's ranked fourth uh in the rankings”
MM Mmajessic picks Deiveson Figueiredo “probably going to end up seeing a a decision but Deiveson Figueiredo having that decision”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Deiveson Figueiredo “I got Davis and Deiveson Figueiredo I like him in the fight too uh ... this a win uh Deiveson Figueiredo looks phenomenal”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE “I think are ol of J Chuck and Mackenzie Dernenis Tiuliulin uh I don't mind”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Marlon Vera VALUE “Marlon Vera Cheeto Marlon Vera solid floor I think you know this fight goes three rounds and Marlon Vera wins and gets like 80 points”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Deiveson Figueiredo “my subscribers and I went with Davis and figero” $1.69
MO Mompeaux picks Deiveson Figueiredo “my pick here is going to be davidon figuro”
CO Covers picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE “I'm gonna take figero coming in at minus 142” $1.70
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Marlon Vera VALUE “I lean slightly towards Vera if I had to play aside”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Marlon Vera VALUE “Marlon Vera at plus money”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Marlon Vera “I'm gonna go with Marlon Vera in this one”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Deiveson Figueiredo “give me figgy by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Figueiredo25-6-1
L Yadong Submission · R2 May '26
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Jackson Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Sandhagen KO/TKO · R2 May '25
L Yan Decision · R5 Nov '24
Vera23-11-1
L Martínez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Aug '24
L O'Malley Decision · R5 Mar '24
W Munhoz Decision · R3 Aug '23