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Gaziev vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Nurmagomedov vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight
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Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
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MV
Figueiredo vs VeraMain Card · Bantamweight
MC
TF
Chiesa vs FergusonMain Card · Welterweight
MD
LG
Dern vs GodinezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
JÁ
EB
Álvarez vs BrenerMain Card · Lightweight
AM
AM
Murzakanov vs MenifieldPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Fernandes vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Gaziev vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
GK
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Kutateladze vs VucenicPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Hughes vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Herbert vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Dumas vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Gaziev v Mayes
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Gaziev 14-2
VS
11-7 Mayes
6'4"
height
6'6"
262 lb
weight
260 lb
78"
reach
81"
36
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.4
strikes landed / min
3.5
49%
striking accuracy
43%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
44%
striking defence
46%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
30%
takedown accuracy
38%
100%
takedown defence
58%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BM
Brando MMA picks Shamil Gaziev
“this was always is kind of an easy win for Shamil Gaziev even if he does have cardio issues he is at least talented he has good takedowns he is uh a pretty quick and Technical Striker for his size”
Brando MMA picks Shamil Gaziev
“this was always is kind of an easy win for Shamil Gaziev even if he does have cardio issues he is at least talented he has good takedowns he is uh a pretty quick and Technical Striker for his size”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Shamil Gaziev
“I'm going for Shamil Gaziev I think Shamil Gaziev gets it done”
The Rambling Dad picks Shamil Gaziev
“I'm going for Shamil Gaziev I think Shamil Gaziev gets it done”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Shamil Gaziev
“the Shamil Gazievev Mackenzie Dernon'Tale Mayes fight I mean it's a heavyweight fight so like it's one of these things that it's either it's heavyweight so a knockout could come at any time or both these guys just gas out”
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Shamil Gaziev
“the Shamil Gazievev Mackenzie Dernon'Tale Mayes fight I mean it's a heavyweight fight so like it's one of these things that it's either it's heavyweight so a knockout could come at any time or both these guys just gas out”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Don'Tale Mayes
“the Mackenzie Derneiveson Figueiredo Marlon Vera fight I I I'm not interested in figuro at all”
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Don'Tale Mayes
“the Mackenzie Derneiveson Figueiredo Marlon Vera fight I I I'm not interested in figuro at all”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I think he gets a first round or second round finish”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I think he gets a first round or second round finish”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I'm picking him here I see him with Victory”
MMA EXPERTS picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I'm picking him here I see him with Victory”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I'm going to pick gaze to win”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I'm going to pick gaze to win”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I think that Shamil gaze might get another submission under his belt on against Dante ma”
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I think that Shamil gaze might get another submission under his belt on against Dante ma”
WP
We Want Picks picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“sh is gonna be the pick I'm probably gonna fade this fight just cuz”
We Want Picks picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“sh is gonna be the pick I'm probably gonna fade this fight just cuz”
MF
Matt’Or Fact picks Don'Tale Mayes
“I'm going along with Don'Tale Mayes to get the Win”
Matt’Or Fact picks Don'Tale Mayes
“I'm going along with Don'Tale Mayes to get the Win”
PP
POOKIE PICKS picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I got a strong lean gaziev money line Gaz very confident that he's going to win this one”
$1.40
POOKIE PICKS picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE
“I got a strong lean gaziev money line Gaz very confident that he's going to win this one”
$1.40
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Gaziev14-2
L
Peričić
May '26
L
Cortes-Acosta
Nov '25
W
Petersen
Feb '25
W
Mayes
Aug '24
L
Rozenstruik
Mar '24
Mayes11-7
L
Petersen
May '25
L
Walker
Feb '25
L
Gaziev
Aug '24
W
Machado
Apr '24
L
Nascimento
Nov '23