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UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
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UN CS Nurmagomedov vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight SM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight DF MV Figueiredo vs VeraMain Card · Bantamweight MC TF Chiesa vs FergusonMain Card · Welterweight MD LG Dern vs GodinezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight EB Álvarez vs BrenerMain Card · Lightweight AM AM Murzakanov vs MenifieldPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KF MY Fernandes vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SG DM Gaziev vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight GK JV Kutateladze vs VucenicPreliminary Card · Lightweight SH VD Hughes vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JH RB Herbert vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SD DT Dumas vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Magomedov v Oleksiejczuk Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus41 picks · conf 62/99
Magomedov 37
4 Oleksiejczuk
MFFeHM pick Magomedov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Magomedov 16-1 VS 22-9 Oleksiejczuk
6'2" height 6'0"
186 lb weight 186 lb
73" reach 74"
32 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
strikes landed / min 5.1
striking accuracy 50%
strikes absorbed / min 4.6
striking defence 58%
takedowns / 15 min 1.1
takedown accuracy 43%
takedown defence 48%
submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Brando MMA picks Sharabutdin Magomedov “good win from Sharabutdin Magomedov I don't know how much further he gets honestly because because in in my prediction video I said I don't think a striker is going to beat Chara bullet I think it's going to be a Grappler but Michał Oleksiejczuk as a boxer had a lot of moments”
MM Mmajessic picks Sharabutdin Magomedov “go with Sharabutdin Magomedov to win this matchup”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Sharabutdin Magomedov “mag made off two five favorite with Mel at 2011 all r”
ES etoft21 sports picks Sharabutdin Magomedov VALUE “I believe Sharabutdin Magomedov is the more skilled... I just believe over the course of three rounds NOT_IN_ROSTER_2's gonna find the cardio and enough damage to either find a late TKO or decision over Michael Chiesa”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Sharabutdin Magomedov “I'm not big on playing Sedriques Mackenzie Dernumas I think sham Maga made off uh against uh Michał Oleksiejczuk I don't think he does that much either”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE “I might as well take a shot on him then Sharon Sharabutdin Magomedov is facing Ola J chuk”
NM Notorious Pulls MMA picks Sharabutdin Magomedov “if Sharabutdin Magomedov beats me this weekend like and he probably will”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Sharabutdin Magomedov VALUE “I real like a bounce back here for Sharabutdin Magomedovmil Gaziev”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I'm going to go Sharabutdin Magomedovrabutdin Magomedov to drop the ball and uh and lose to Michał Oleksiejczuk”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Sharabutdin Magomedov “I think it is going to be a moment for sh”
FI FightDudes picks Sharabutdin Magomedov “I got Sharabutdin Magomedov money line M is dangerous power but he's gotten finished by other Strikers before”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE “If I was to place one bet on this card it'd be Michał Oleksiejczuk o saychuk” $3.10
Recent form last five, most recent first
Magomedov16-1
W Pereira Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Barriault Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Page Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Petrosyan KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24
W Oleksiejczuk Decision · R3 Aug '24
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L Magomedov Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Barriault Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Meerschaert KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Dumas KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Aug '24