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UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
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UN CS Nurmagomedov vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight SM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight DF MV Figueiredo vs VeraMain Card · Bantamweight MC TF Chiesa vs FergusonMain Card · Welterweight MD LG Dern vs GodinezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight EB Álvarez vs BrenerMain Card · Lightweight AM AM Murzakanov vs MenifieldPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KF MY Fernandes vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SG DM Gaziev vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight GK JV Kutateladze vs VucenicPreliminary Card · Lightweight SH VD Hughes vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JH RB Herbert vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SD DT Dumas vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Dern v Godinez Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus57 picks · conf 72/99
Dern 20
37 Godinez
AFMMMM pick Dern
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dern 14-5 VS 12-5 Godinez
5'4" height
116 lb weight
63" reach
33 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 4.2
39% striking accuracy 48%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
51% striking defence 63%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
16% takedown accuracy 47%
30% takedown defence 81%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Brando MMA picks Mackenzie Dern “I was like Mackenzie Dern should not win this fight because her stand up is atrocious her takedown entries stink and her striking defense is awful so she shouldn't win the fight but she's going to win the fight because women's MMA makes no sense”
MM Mmajessic picks Loopy Godinez “my pick for this fight is going to be Loopy Godinez”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Loopy Godinez “I'm picking the Mexican in this one as well”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Mackenzie Dern “I think [__] Mackenzie Dern um just too strong a Grappler in this one”
ES etoft21 sports picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “I think she's going to be able to keep this standing and lupy has a huge advantage in the Striking game... so I'm going with Loopy Godinez plus 102” $2.02
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Loopy Godinez “the Mackenzie Dern Go I mean obviously Mackenzie Mackenzie Dernern has upside to win in submission in the first round but that's her path to 100 points”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mackenzie Dern “I'm a Mackenzie DernFS expert so normally me and a squirrel Patrol are talking about Mackenzie DernFS strategy”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Mackenzie Dern “my subscribers and I by the way went with Mackenzie Dern” $1.20
MO Mompeaux picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “I favor the underdog in this fight I favor Loopy Godinez godz”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “I favor lupy ginz to win”
SP SportsLine picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE “I like lodz Lupita on your sports books I think she has a great stylistic matchup against Mackenzie Dern” $2.10
KU Kunath picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “I like her to get her hand rais this week”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dern14-5
W Jandiroba Decision · R5 Oct '25
W Ribas Submission · R3 Jan '25
W Godinez Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Lemos Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Andrade KO/TKO · R2 Nov '23
Godinez12-5
W Polastri Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Dern Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Jandiroba Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Ricci Decision · R3 Nov '23