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UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
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UN CS Nurmagomedov vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight SM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight DF MV Figueiredo vs VeraMain Card · Bantamweight MC TF Chiesa vs FergusonMain Card · Welterweight MD LG Dern vs GodinezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight EB Álvarez vs BrenerMain Card · Lightweight AM AM Murzakanov vs MenifieldPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KF MY Fernandes vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SG DM Gaziev vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight GK JV Kutateladze vs VucenicPreliminary Card · Lightweight SH VD Hughes vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JH RB Herbert vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SD DT Dumas vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Dumas v Tiuliulin Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Dumas 44
3 Tiuliulin
ALPTFB pick Dumas
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dumas 10-4 VS 10-10 Tiuliulin
6'2" height 6'1"
185 lb weight 185 lb
79" reach 77"
30 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.1 strikes landed / min 3.6
48% striking accuracy 41%
2.0 strikes absorbed / min 5.2
58% striking defence 38%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
35% takedown accuracy 42%
40% takedown defence 72%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Brando MMA picks Sedriques Dumas “so I went I went with Sedriques Dumas and he got it done just kind of outworked Denis Tiuliulin made him miss outstruck him he was just a little quicker than Dennis tulan uh so yeah Sedriques Dumas got that one done by decision”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Sedriques Dumas “I'm going to go with Cedric deas on this one maybe even for him to finally finish”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Denis Tiuliulin “I don't think the skill level of this card is all that great”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Sedriques Dumas “I don't think the skill level of this card is all that great”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Denis Tiuliulin VALUE “I don't hate him at this very cheap price tag of 7,300”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE “I'm going with Dumas to win it”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Denis Tiuliulin “we've got him projected to be contrarian option”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE “I wouldn't be nervous about parlaying Sedriques Dumas I think Denis Tiuliulin's completely done”
ST SteadyPicks picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE “Sedriques Dumas might be a lock for me because Denis Tiuliulin I'm not touch he's like a plus he's like a minus bro [__] he he's horrible”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE “I think that for the most part um what we've seen from Dumas is that he's won or lost his fights in the grappling so far in the EVENT_DETAILS and if that's the case here I think he's gonna win this one”
KU Kunath picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE “let's say you wanted to plug in Sedriques Dumas who I think is a sneaky play as well”
WP We Want Picks picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE “Sedriques Dumas is going to be the pick and I'm on the fense if I'm going to spend the $8,900 on him because again he's not very good but sometimes you just got to look at the opponent and go from there”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dumas10-4
L McVey Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Johnson Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Tiuliulin Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Ruziboev KO/TKO · R1 Mar '24
Tiuliulin10-10
L Dumas Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Duncan KO/TKO · R2 Nov '23
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
L Jun-yong Submission · R1 Feb '23
W Pickett KO/TKO · R2 Sep '22