MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Choose a fight to analyse
UN CS Nurmagomedov vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight SM MO Magomedov vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight DF MV Figueiredo vs VeraMain Card · Bantamweight MC TF Chiesa vs FergusonMain Card · Welterweight MD LG Dern vs GodinezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight EB Álvarez vs BrenerMain Card · Lightweight AM AM Murzakanov vs MenifieldPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight KF MY Fernandes vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SG DM Gaziev vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight GK JV Kutateladze vs VucenicPreliminary Card · Lightweight SH VD Hughes vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JH RB Herbert vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight SD DT Dumas vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Herbert v Bedoya Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus53 picks · conf 70/99
Herbert 30
23 Bedoya
ALTJ1H pick Herbert
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Herbert 13-6-1 VS 14-5 Bedoya
6'1" height 5'11"
156 lb weight 156 lb
77" reach 74"
38 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 2.2
42% striking accuracy 46%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
52% striking defence 68%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
23% takedown accuracy 74%
59% takedown defence 58%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Brando MMA picks Jai Herbert “I picked Jai Herbert to win and he got it done I just kind of trusted in the experience of Jai Herbert to get it done he was very quick on his feet really good footwork in this fight uh and just just kind of out volumed Rolando Bedoya just kind of landed more shots dropped him in round one”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Jai Herbert “I'm backing Jai Herbert in this one as well”
ES etoft21 sports picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “I'm going to open the uh the card with a dog actually probably a little of an unknown I'm going to go with Rolando Bedoya money line plus 110 right now on DraftKings or bet 365” $2.10
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Jai Herbert “I'm not a big fan of the Jai Herbert of Jai Herbert Rolando Bedoya other than b the Rolando Bedoya side”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “I like vya as an underdog”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jai Herbert VALUE “my subscribers and I went with um Jai Herbert” $1.74
MO Mompeaux picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “my pick here is going to go for bedya”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “I like bedya here I think he will be a popular dog”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “I am going to pick a fit Rolando Bedoya at his better weight class 155 to win”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “I'm picking Rolando Rolando Bedoya to win”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Jai Herbert VALUE “I think it's Jai Herbert by decision”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “Rolando Rolando Bedoya against Jai Herbert badya nine years younger and just way more volume... so I think pretty comfortably bedya” $2.10
Recent form last five, most recent first
Herbert13-6-1
W Nallo KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
L Padilla Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Bedoya Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Ziam Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Nelson Decision · R3 Jul '22
Bedoya14-5
L Mullarkey Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Herbert Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Kenan Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Williams Decision · R3 May '23