UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira Β· breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
FK
Fatima Kline
v Melissa Martinez
MONEYLINE
WON
Fatima Kline
v Melissa Martinez
MONEYLINE
WON
βI'm going to definitely go with Fatima Kline because um she is uh very very powerful.β
Line since pick
CLV +3%
β entry$1.11
β
close$1.08
MD
Mike Davis
v Mitch Ramirez
MONEYLINE
WON
Mike Davis
v Mitch Ramirez
MONEYLINE
WON
βMike Davis who I think is going to win this fight.β
Line since pick
CLV +2%
β entry$1.13
β
close$1.11
KN
Kennedy Nzechukwu
v Valter Walker
MONEYLINE
LOST
Kennedy Nzechukwu
v Valter Walker
MONEYLINE
LOST
βI'm going to say it's going to be Kennedy Nzechukwu. Um yeah, by probably the decision becauseβ
Line since pick
CLV β1%
β entry$1.50
β
close$1.51
Line since pick
CLV +6%
β entry$1.79
β
close$1.69
entry: Unibet (FR) Β· best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +2%
β entry$1.35
β
close$1.33
VP
Vitor Petrino
v Austen Lane
MONEYLINE
WON
Vitor Petrino
v Austen Lane
MONEYLINE
WON
βVitor Petrino is moving up to heavyweight to further humiliate Austen Laneβ
Line since pick
CLV +2%
β entry$1.17
β
close$1.15
JT
Junior Tafa
v Tuco Tokkos
MONEYLINE
LOST
β
Junior Tafa
v Tuco Tokkos
MONEYLINE
LOST
β
βI do have to share it, bro. I do have to share. And honestly, I mean, okay, so like, dude, he's 4 in taller. He's got a significant reach advantage. He's 25 to Daggers. Boy, do they need a prospect at heavyweight, dude. I He's already ranked, dude. That's another reason I hope he wins is just he needs some kind of a prospect. I mean, dude. Yeah, Mario Pinto, like I was saying, NOT_IN_ROSTER_58 is another one, but Yeah, NOT_IN_ROSTER_58. Um, Tasher is I mean, like he Derk Le is a good test, honestly. And I mean, and it's not I mean, Dude, it's like I mean, do you see this fight going on? Say it's like I probably not. It's not. Yeah, it's like I mean, you can't thousand Deser just like I mean, he just doesn't stop like, you know, it's it's not um I got to take off, man. So, What about Junior Tafa or Tuco Tokkos? This fight I'm very excited for actually. Yeah, he's a big fan of the Tafa brothers. I mean, hence the name. I I'm I'm quite actually disappointed in Junior Tafa. I mean, he uh he's made me uh very very sad, but um you know, by by just losing consistently to the point where his record is that of a WMA fighter. But Justin, when he wins, it looks cool though. He's just a big deep brawler of a dude. I hate to get in a bar fight with that guy. I mean, he'd be knocking out the whole bar room. He's short, too, for for heavyweight. Junior Tafa, though, never belonged to heavyweight. Begged the UFC to let him fight at late heavyweight, which they finally are after, you know, after he almost got finished in the first round in his last fight against I can't remember his name. it doesn't matter on the Roy Valyra card and then survived the first it was almost like Marlon Moras versus Morab where you know Tava is just almost getting finished in the first round and coming back and knocking out the opponent in the second and uh yeah I mean I actually think I think Tacos is going to be able to just hold him against the cage like he did to NOT_IN_ROSTER_55. Well NOT_IN_ROSTER_55 won that fight though. Yeah, but I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_55's a whole different level of athlete. NOT_IN_ROSTER_55's NOT_IN_ROSTER_55 has been consistently disappointing since he debuted, but well, okay, we'll find out. Well, yeah, obviously if it was uh Tukot Takas also got subbed in one round by NOT_IN_ROSTER_51, who went on to lose to NOT_IN_ROSTER_52 recently and looked unimpressive in the fight in between. They barely won. But anyway, um here's what I'm saying about. So, Junior Zafa has been uh kind of just thrown into a bunch of shitty situations. Filling in on a day's notice against Marco with D Lima who like leg kicked him into [Β __Β ] you know, surgery, you know, but it was filled in for his brother who was supposed to fight De Lima. And I mean, you know, it's like that Volter Walker quote unquote verbal tap was was 100% like trash. never should have, you know, he would have won that fight, by the way. Like, you know, I mean, so, you know, so now, you know, now he's finally getting to debut at light heavyweight. He's not going to [Β __Β ] it up. Like, you know, to go Taco, I mean, you know, I hope that God, like, we'll see. I hope to God that he's been grappling just a little bit. a little bit cuz I mean okay so Tafa has been drilling his uh he not that he has to have been too go tacos he's over on his under hooks and all that over on you know what I mean yeah yeah well I mean look so good I mean honestly in a clinch he'll he knows how to throw knees in a clinch dude I mean you know and break out of one I think I think he's much stronger than Tuco Tokkos I think Tuco Tokkos loves to hug you know and and hug and basically like try to like march his opponent towards the cage for, you know, he's got like a very heterosexual control time. [Β __Β ] who does tacos? Yeah. What makes you say that? He's getting cracked by Nabalo NOT_IN_ROSTER_55. Yeah, he survived the whole fight. I mean, yeah, he did, but Tava's got heavier hands and I guarantee you, dude, I I Tava wins this fight. I would love to see him fight Navajo NOT_IN_ROSTER_55 and I think he would get destroyed. No, no, no, no, dude. Dude, I'm telling you, Junior Tafa is he's better than people understand. And finally fighting at the division he belongs in. No, we're going to find out. I mean, yeah, like find out Saturday. Yeah. I mean, you know, the most the most like meaningless statement ever. It's like yes we yes we will find out but you know this prediction video which you know people uh may be uh putting their hard earned or stolen money on either way it doesn't matter the point you're betting your money on sports. Yeah. Don't don't get deserve to lose. I mean well I mean I guess I'll never get what I deserve, right? It's a long Yeah. Anyway, so you you like tough? I do. And uh also I mean seven years younger bro I mean Tuko Takaco is just an unimpressive fighter all around. He's just you know he's just like a kind kind of just this type of person just ees his way through life slouchy and like his fighting style is inconsistent. his regional fights were, you know, I mean, you know, it's like his fights before before the UFC fought this dude was like, you know, I mean, this is what he was. Yeah. I mean, you know, whatever. On to the next one, dude. I mean, hold on. So, one one more thing. All right. like Junior Tafa like I mean you know it's it's just like I'm trying to say okay so like here's what I'm trying to think about right the danger to Junior Topa obviously is you know Clint grappling T you know he could get hel uh he's kind of like a fish out of water on the ground well I mean both yeah him and his brother have historically been like that NOT_IN_ROSTER_54 I guess laid on both of them and you know stalled out till to a decision But also, um, you know, does he let it go to the ground? He's going to be faster at 205. You could shin him right away. He's got lateral that too. He's got lateral movement. He's got power. Fat out of shape. I mean, yeah, of Yeah, absolutely. He's three inches taller than his brother also. And I mean, also two like tunaf who who like I keep saying has has actual power, right? body. He goes body face body face like you know to go tacos is gonna be he's not you know he's not gonna be able to out strike him you know also I mean you know like junior top like I mean he he can't get wind up getting cut if he loses this fight I mean well same for two taco contract's up he'll be done he's already yeah he's already two losses on a 35 contract though these guys are fighting for a job, right? Both. I mean, yeah, but yeah. And and Junior Topa, though, it's like a new leaf, you know, new weight class and, you know, like it's more more on the horizon. I mean, I hate to infuse emotions in it, but you know. Yeah. I mean, trust me, they're both trying to win this fight. Yeah, James Hop is a better fighter. He's gonna [Β __Β ] fight. He's gonna win. He won't let me down. Okay.β
Line since pick
CLV +4%
β entry$1.69
β
close$1.63
EM
Eduarda Moura
v Lauren Murphy
MONEYLINE
WON
β
Eduarda Moura
v Lauren Murphy
MONEYLINE
WON
β
βYeah. Yeah. It's got to be man. So what about Lauren Murphy or Eduarda Moura? Um well I mean Eduardo Mara almost certainly I mean it's like and it's like you know it's like why it's like why is you know for whatever reason I keep thinking like why is Lauren Murphy going to somehow win this but then it's like it's like no no she's not going to Edward is capable of finishing people she she finished um NOT_IN_ROSTER_28 but you know who who went on to also will be finished by NOT_IN_ROSTER_29 or she had been finished by NOT_IN_ROSTER_29 and Jacqueline Anarium which actually aren't terrible. Lauren Murphy is 41 years old. Yeah, she Yeah, she's very she's uh yeah, she's pretty geriatric but also uh yeah and um and Morris beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_31. Lauren Murphy also hasn't she been out forever? Yeah, her last fight was uh she lost to NOT_IN_ROSTER_33 two and a half years ago. Uh, she beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_34 by decision in 2022. She lost. She got knocked out by NOT_IN_ROSTER_32 fighting for the belt though. Um, four years ago. Yeah. Yeah. Lauren Murphy, I think she's um I mean she Yeah, not going to win today. And and I mean, you know, it's like and I'm trying to think it's like was she ever really that good? Eduarda Moura has a weird she has a weird style of like you know I just I just remember her side like her sidekicks being like I mean I don't know it's she's a weird strike like kick heavy kind of striking style and Lauren Murphy definitely grapples well or has you know submissions and everything but I mean yeah you know I I feel like Lauren Murphy's going to try to get her to the ground. I mean, Eduardo Mur is gonna I mean, she's gonna keep it on the feet, probably strike, hopefully kick to the body, keep the distance. I mean, uh I mean, you know, it's it's it's like, you know, I almost want to lock Eduarda Moura just given like Lauren Murphy's inactivity and age and everything. Um but uh but like for right now I mean yeah Lauren M Eduarda Moura I mean you know once again it's like unless she fights like you know just forgets like you know Yeah. Yeah. She should win.β
Line since pick
CLV β1%
β entry$1.17
β
close$1.18
DL
Derrick Lewis
v Tallison Teixeira
MONEYLINE
WON
β
Derrick Lewis
v Tallison Teixeira
MONEYLINE
WON
β
βI do have to share it, bro.β
Line since pick
CLV β25%
β entry$2.63
β
close$3.52
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish

