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Lewis vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
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Matthews vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Thompson vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight
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SG
Kattar vs GarciaMain Card · Featherweight
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Tafa vs TokkosMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ramirez vs DavisPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Landwehr vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
TT
Lewis vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
JM
CN
Matthews vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
ST
GB
Thompson vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight
CK
SG
Kattar vs GarciaMain Card · Featherweight
JT
TT
Tafa vs TokkosMain Card · Light Heavyweight
VP
AL
Petrino vs LaneMain Card · Heavyweight
MG
CC
Griffin vs CurtisPreliminary Card · Welterweight
FK
MM
Kline vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
LM
EM
Murphy vs MouraPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KN
VW
Nzechukwu vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MR
MD
Ramirez vs DavisPreliminary Card · Lightweight
NL
MC
Landwehr vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Matthews
over Njokuani · Welterweight
Our fair value$2.00
Where to back Matthews
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.00
US
FanDuel
$2.12
+6%
UK
Paddy Power
$2.10
+5%
EU
BET
Betsson
$2.15
+8%
AU
TAB
$2.25
+12%
How it endsmethod calls · Matthews · crowd line
Submission
4
$8.50
Decision
13
$2.62
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Matthews 22-8
VS
25-11 Njokuani
5'11"
height
6'3"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
73"
reach
80"
31
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.9
strikes landed / min
4.6
41%
striking accuracy
63%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
47%
striking defence
56%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
40%
takedown accuracy
0%
50%
takedown defence
74%
1.8
submissions / 15 min
0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market50% vs 44%
Consensus32 of 54 analysts
Sharpest angleMatthews by Decision — 13 of 17 method calls
Recommendation
Back Matthews @ $2.25 · fair $2.00
+12% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Jake Matthews VALUE
“I got Jake Matthews. I've been watching him down the opposition.”
$2.35
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Chidi Njokuani
“I got Chidi Njokuani by decision that's final pick”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jake Matthews
“I'm on Jake Matthews.”
SH
Showtime50k picks Jake Matthews
“I'm going to go Jake Matthews just overall uh MMA officiado working Chidi Njokuani and Jawani.”
MM
MMAmarkz picks Chidi Njokuani
“I'm going cheety”
UP
UFC Bro Picks picks Chidi Njokuani
“I'll go Chitty. I think he's a better striker and I think he can keep it on the feet.”
$1.63
TN
Turkish Lad News picks Chidi Njokuani VALUE
“the picks, Nate Landwehr, Kennedy Nzechukwu, NOT_IN_ROSTER_1, Eduarda Moura, NOT_IN_ROSTER_2, Chidi Njokuani, Steve Garcia, Gabriel Bonfim, and Derrick Lewis.”
FF
Fite Feed picks Jake Matthews
“You got Jake Matthews”
TT
Takedown Titan picks Chidi Njokuani
“Chidi Njokuani versus Jake Matthews. I think Chidi Njokuani's going to win at the welterweight though. He missed way. Jake Matthews's way too inconsistent.”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jake Matthews VALUE
“you're done waiting for this line to continue to go up, I assume. So, where's your price target on Matthews? What are you betting it down to? Yeah, I think I need the plus 130.”
$2.40
KU
Kunath picks Jake Matthews VALUE
“I think that Jake Matthews, as long as he's urgent, as long as he's aggressive, fights a good game plan, I think he can win. And at plus money, I'll take it.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Matthews22-8
W
Harris
May '26
L
Magny
Sep '25
W
Njokuani
Jul '25
W
Prado
Feb '25
W
Rowe
Jun '24
Njokuani25-11
L
Leal
Feb '26
L
Matthews
Jul '25
W
Santos
Mar '25
W
Gooden
Oct '24
W
McKee
Mar '24