Choose a fight to analyse
DL
TT
Lewis vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
JM
CN
Matthews vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
ST
GB
Thompson vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight
CK
SG
Kattar vs GarciaMain Card · Featherweight
JT
TT
Tafa vs TokkosMain Card · Light Heavyweight
VP
AL
Petrino vs LaneMain Card · Heavyweight
MG
CC
Griffin vs CurtisPreliminary Card · Welterweight
FK
MM
Kline vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
LM
EM
Murphy vs MouraPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KN
VW
Nzechukwu vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MR
MD
Ramirez vs DavisPreliminary Card · Lightweight
NL
MC
Landwehr vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
TT
Lewis vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
JM
CN
Matthews vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
ST
GB
Thompson vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight
CK
SG
Kattar vs GarciaMain Card · Featherweight
JT
TT
Tafa vs TokkosMain Card · Light Heavyweight
VP
AL
Petrino vs LaneMain Card · Heavyweight
MG
CC
Griffin vs CurtisPreliminary Card · Welterweight
FK
MM
Kline vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
LM
EM
Murphy vs MouraPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KN
VW
Nzechukwu vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MR
MD
Ramirez vs DavisPreliminary Card · Lightweight
NL
MC
Landwehr vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Murphy
over Moura · Women'S Flyweight
Our fair value$5.48
pays above fair
$6.00
Best prices · Murphy
betPARX · US
$5.80
Grosvenor · UK
$5.80
Unibet (NL) · EU
$5.80
PlayUp · AU
$6.00
Where to back Murphy
best price · region · EV vs fair $5.48
US
betPARX
$5.80
+6%
betPARX
$5.80
+6%
UK
Grosvenor
$5.80
+6%
Grosvenor
$5.80
+6%
EU
Unibet (NL)
$5.80
+6%
Unibet (NL)
$5.80
+6%
AU
PlayUp
$6.00
+10%
PlayUp
$6.00
+10%
How it endsmethod calls · Murphy · crowd line
KO/TKO
2
$13.70
Decision
3
$9.13
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Murphy 16-6
VS
12-1 Moura
5'5"
height
5'6"
126 lb
weight
126 lb
67"
reach
66"
42
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.0
strikes landed / min
2.6
39%
striking accuracy
49%
5.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
55%
striking defence
53%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
4.4
25%
takedown accuracy
35%
69%
takedown defence
100%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market18% vs 17%
Consensus10 of 46 analysts
Sharpest angleMurphy by Decision — 3 of 5 method calls
Recommendation
Back Murphy @ $6.00 · fair $5.48
+10% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Eduarda Moura
“Unanimous decision win for Eduarda Moura.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Eduarda Moura
“Unanimous decision win for Eduarda Moura.”
SH
Showtime50k picks Eduarda Moura
“I think straight up Eduarda Moura is just going to tear this girl up.”
Showtime50k picks Eduarda Moura
“I think straight up Eduarda Moura is just going to tear this girl up.”
UP
UFC Bro Picks picks Eduarda Moura
“I got the prospect going out there and dominating Warren Murphy.”
$1.14
UFC Bro Picks picks Eduarda Moura
“I got the prospect going out there and dominating Warren Murphy.”
$1.14
TN
Turkish Lad News picks Eduarda Moura VALUE
“the picks, Nate Landwehr, Kennedy Nzechukwu, NOT_IN_ROSTER_1, Eduarda Moura, NOT_IN_ROSTER_2, Chidi Njokuani, Steve Garcia, Gabriel Bonfim, and Derrick Lewis.”
Turkish Lad News picks Eduarda Moura VALUE
“the picks, Nate Landwehr, Kennedy Nzechukwu, NOT_IN_ROSTER_1, Eduarda Moura, NOT_IN_ROSTER_2, Chidi Njokuani, Steve Garcia, Gabriel Bonfim, and Derrick Lewis.”
TT
Takedown Titan picks Lauren Murphy
“Lauren Murphy's back from, I believe, a two-year hiatus since losing to NOT_IN_ROSTER_26. She's fighting Eduarda Moura, who's two in one, but you know, a split decision right here. This should win.”
Takedown Titan picks Lauren Murphy
“Lauren Murphy's back from, I believe, a two-year hiatus since losing to NOT_IN_ROSTER_26. She's fighting Eduarda Moura, who's two in one, but you know, a split decision right here. This should win.”
AM
Axel MMA picks Lauren Murphy VALUE
“I'm going to go with her to win lock confidence.”
Axel MMA picks Lauren Murphy VALUE
“I'm going to go with her to win lock confidence.”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Lauren Murphy
“She's also bigger, two inches taller, two inch reach advantage, but coming off of the long layoff in her 40s.”
$1.14
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Lauren Murphy
“She's also bigger, two inches taller, two inch reach advantage, but coming off of the long layoff in her 40s.”
$1.14
WP
We Want Picks picks Eduarda Moura
“My safeish bet for this fight is going to be the minus three and a half at minus 180.”
We Want Picks picks Eduarda Moura
“My safeish bet for this fight is going to be the minus three and a half at minus 180.”
TM
Topside MMA picks Eduarda Moura
“I'll say Eduardo Mora and I'll say by decision in this one.”
$1.14
Topside MMA picks Eduarda Moura
“I'll say Eduardo Mora and I'll say by decision in this one.”
$1.14
EB
ESPN BET picks Eduarda Moura VALUE
“Eduarda Moura has gone from -400 to -750... Eduarda Moura is coming off a couple of great wins.”
$1.13
ESPN BET picks Eduarda Moura VALUE
“Eduarda Moura has gone from -400 to -750... Eduarda Moura is coming off a couple of great wins.”
$1.13
WP
We Want Picks picks Lauren Murphy
“Eduardamora should win here.”
We Want Picks picks Lauren Murphy
“Eduardamora should win here.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Murphy16-6
L
Moura
Jul '25
L
Andrade
Jan '23
W
Tate
Jul '22
L
Shevchenko
Sep '21
W
Calderwood
Jun '21
Moura12-1
L
Cong
Feb '26
W
Murphy
Jul '25
W
Hardy
Nov '24
L
Gomes
Jun '24
W
Ruiz
Nov '23