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Tony's Picks
UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · breakdown

UFC FIGHT NIGHT: Lewis vs Teixeira Pick Prediction, Saturday 7/12/25

TP Tony's Picks54% hit
11 months ago 3W–6L · -0.1u 9/10 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
FK Fatima Kline v Melissa Martinez PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I'm going to get to go ahead and take a shot on that under at plus money on here. Give me um this one not going the distance.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.06 close$1.08
Kline’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KN Kennedy Nzechukwu v Valter Walker PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I like Kennedy Nzechukwu to get it done in there. The over 2 and 1/2 is at a minus 105 and that under one and a half, uh, 2 and 1/2 is -25. I'm looking at the fight not going the distance for sure.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.49 close$1.51
Nzechukwu’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CK Calvin Kattar v Steve Garcia PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“give me the fight not going the distance in this one.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.10 close$2.07
Kattar’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
LM Lauren Murphy v Eduarda Moura PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I think Edward Mora gets it done um inside the distance as well. And give me the fight not going the distance, man.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$6.23 close$6.23
Murphy’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JM Jake Matthews v Chidi Njokuani MONEYLINE WON
“I got to go with Jake Matthews in this one, man. Give me give me Jake Matthews in this one and give me the over in that one.”
Line since pick CLV −20%
◆ entry$1.93 close$2.40
entry: Unibet (FR) · best in any region at publish
MG Max Griffin v Chris Curtis PROP · DECISION LOST
“give me the uh fight going the distance in this one.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.64 close$3.64
Griffin’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JT Junior Tafa v Tuco Tokkos PROP · DECISION LOST
“I like the over. I give me the over a little bit, man. I think this could go over one and a half rounds.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.63 close$1.63
Tafa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NL Nate Landwehr v Morgan Charriere PROP · KO/TKO VALUE
“I don't think this one's going the distance, man. Give me the fight not going the distance in that one.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +5%
◆ entry$3.25 now$3.10
Landwehr’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DL Derrick Lewis v Tallison Teixeira PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I think he wins by KO and gets it done.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −16%
◆ entry$2.97 close$3.52
Lewis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
VP Vitor Petrino v Austen Lane PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I got to go with the under one and a half. All right. Vitor Petrino, big favorite, stepping up to the heavyweight division.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.15 close$1.15
Petrino’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.57