UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TT
Tallison Teixeira
v Derrick Lewis
MONEYLINE
LOST
Tallison Teixeira
v Derrick Lewis
MONEYLINE
LOST
“ultimately I do think he gets Lewis in the latter half of round one or the early part of round two. How I think he does it in the clinch with knees to the body.”
Line since pick
CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.38
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
DL
Derrick Lewis
v Tallison Teixeira
MONEYLINE
WON
Derrick Lewis
v Tallison Teixeira
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm actually taking a little bit of a sprinkle at Derrick Lewis's moneyline, though.”
Line since pick
CLV −16%
◆ entry$2.97
→
close$3.52
entry: Betclic (FR) · best in any region at publish
GB
Gabriel Bonfim
v Stephen Thompson
MONEYLINE
WON
Gabriel Bonfim
v Stephen Thompson
MONEYLINE
WON
“we both like Gabriel Bonfim to win in rounds one or two at plus 125.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.26
→
close$1.26
ST
Stephen Thompson
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
Stephen Thompson
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
“And then after round one, if he's not able to put Stephen Thompson away, I would be interested in betting Wonder Boy live.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.52
→
close$4.52
VP
Vitor Petrino
v Austen Lane
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Vitor Petrino
v Austen Lane
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I also like the fight to go to a decision at about plus 400.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.15
→
close$1.15
Petrino’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $5.00
AL
Austen Lane
v Vitor Petrino
MONEYLINE
LOST
Austen Lane
v Vitor Petrino
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm interested in sprinkling Lane as well at about 5 to1.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$6.25
→
close$6.25
VW
Valter Walker
v Kennedy Nzechukwu
MONEYLINE
WON
Valter Walker
v Kennedy Nzechukwu
MONEYLINE
WON
“I like him at plus money. tick that about plus 185. I like him down to about plus 170. And I also like his submission prop at plus 650 as well.”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.80
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
JM
Jake Matthews
v Chidi Njokuani
MONEYLINE
WON
Jake Matthews
v Chidi Njokuani
MONEYLINE
WON
“you're done waiting for this line to continue to go up, I assume. So, where's your price target on Matthews? What are you betting it down to? Yeah, I think I need the plus 130.”
Line since pick
CLV −20%
◆ entry$1.93
→
close$2.40
entry: Unibet (FR) · best in any region at publish
MC
Morgan Charriere
v Nate Landwehr
MONEYLINE
Morgan Charriere
v Nate Landwehr
MONEYLINE
“Morgan Charriere about 4.8. So, I do think Lanware should have a slight volume edge in this matchup.”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.40
→
now$1.44
NL
Nate Landwehr
v Morgan Charriere
MONEYLINE
VALUE
Nate Landwehr
v Morgan Charriere
MONEYLINE
VALUE
“You're just going to go ahead though and take Nate Landwehr on the money line.”
Line since pick
CLV +5%
◆ entry$3.25
→
now$3.10
TT
Tuco Tokkos
v Junior Tafa
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Tuco Tokkos
v Junior Tafa
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“Billy, you like this fight to go over as well I believe because you also like Tokos to win at any point after the first round”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.52
→
close$2.52
Tokkos’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.05
JT
Junior Tafa
v Tuco Tokkos
MONEYLINE
LOST
Junior Tafa
v Tuco Tokkos
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think him winning heavily correlates with this fight going long.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.63
→
close$1.63
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$8.50
→
close$8.50
MD
Mike Davis
v Mitch Ramirez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Mike Davis
v Mitch Ramirez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'll just go ahead and save Davis or I'll play the fight GTD at plus 160.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.11
→
close$1.11
Davis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.60
LM
Lauren Murphy
v Eduarda Moura
MONEYLINE
LOST
Lauren Murphy
v Eduarda Moura
MONEYLINE
LOST
“She's also bigger, two inches taller, two inch reach advantage, but coming off of the long layoff in her 40s.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$6.23
→
close$6.23
EM
Eduarda Moura
v Lauren Murphy
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Eduarda Moura
v Lauren Murphy
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“Mora inside the distance is plus 270.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.18
→
close$1.18
Moura’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.70
Moneyline since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.73
→
close$1.83
Garcia’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.10
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.07
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish


