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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · breakdown

UFC 324 GAETHJE VS PIMBLETT MAIN CARD IN-DEPTH PICKS AND PREDICTIONS

CM Chinned MMA52% hit
5 months ago 4W–5L · -1.4u 9/11 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TM Ty Miller v Adam Fugitt MONEYLINE WON
“Ty Miller decision”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.28
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
RT Ricky Turcios v Cameron Smotherman MONEYLINE
“Ricky Turcios decision”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.75 now$2.66
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
CJ Charles Johnson v Alex Perez MONEYLINE LOST
“Denzel Freeman is low-key a live dog here. I think he's being underrated.”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.51 close$1.61
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
AH Alexander Hernandez v Michael Johnson MONEYLINE
“Alexander Hernandez KO”
Line since pick CLV −17%
◆ entry$1.68 now$2.02
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
SY Song Yadong v Sean O'Malley PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 round three, late round three, maybe with a couple minutes left. KO KO for sure.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.90 close$2.90
Yadong’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SY Song Yadong v Sean O'Malley MONEYLINE LOST
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 round three, late round three, maybe with a couple minutes left. KO KO for sure.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.90 close$2.90
entry: Unibet (UK) · best in any region at publish
PP Paddy Pimblett v Justin Gaethje MONEYLINE LOST
“Paddy Pimblett. 23 and three. Very impressive record against some not so impressive competition, but he's showing impressive skills.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.50 close$1.48
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
JG Justin Gaethje v Paddy Pimblett MONEYLINE WON
“I really only see this ending with a Patty sub. Likely a club and sub.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.00 close$3.00
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
DL Derrick Lewis v Waldo Cortes-Acosta MONEYLINE LOST
“I just see Waldo Cortes-Acosta weathering the storm and and jabbing him on the outside and just clinching up and being a boring [ __ ] and [ __ ] getting that decision”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.85 close$3.85
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
WC Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Derrick Lewis PROP · KO/TKO WON
“Waldo Cortes-Acosta has Waldo Cortes-Acosta by KO, Waldo Cortes-Acosta by TKO.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.34 close$1.33
Cortes-Acosta’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
WC Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Derrick Lewis MONEYLINE WON
“Waldo Cortes-Acosta has Waldo Cortes-Acosta by KO, Waldo Cortes-Acosta by TKO.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.34 close$1.33
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish