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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· breakdown

Best UFC 319 Bets | 10 Min Full Card Bet Breakdown | Du Plessis vs. Chimaev | Murphy vs. Pico

MM Main Card Minute53% hit
10 months ago 3W–3L Β· +1.3u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
TE Tim Elliott v Kai Asakura MONEYLINE WON
β€œTim Tim Elliott as a dog plus 250. He's a decent wrestler. He averages over three takedowns per 15 minutes. And he's gotten a takedown in 11 straight fights. Kai Asakura was taken down three times in his lone EVENT_DETAILS fight. Also, Tim's got that awkward ass style, no pun intended. He can be hard to hit at times. He's tough guy to fight.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’8%
β—† entry$3.55 β†’ close$3.85
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
KA Kai Asakura v Tim Elliott PROP Β· DECISION LOST
β€œif you do like Kai Asakura, take him by decision. plus 140. Only five of his 21 pro wins have come by decision, but I don't think he's going to submit Tim Tim Elliott and he hasn't had a sub in 9 years. Also, Tim Elliott hasn't been finished from strikes in 16 years, so I could definitely see this one going the distance.”
Moneyline since pick CLV βˆ’4%
β—† entry$1.30 β†’ close$1.35
Asakura’s moneyline β€” prop lines aren’t quoted Β· analyst stated $2.40
MP Michael Page v Jared Cannonier MONEYLINE WON
β€œIf you guys are looking for anything else to take Michael Page money line is minus 180, so you'd have to parlay it. He's three years younger. He's going to have a 2-in reach advantage here, and he's crafty as hell with his striking. Jared Cannonier also gets hit almost three times as often as him.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.56 β†’ close$1.56
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
GN Geoff Neal v Carlos Prates MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI do like Geoff Neal as a dog here. Geoff Neal money line plus 230. He lands more strikes per minute and in a fight that I expect to stay standing. That's pretty important. He's also capable of taking it to the ground. He did get a takedown in his last two wins and Carlos Carlos Prates was taken down four times in his last fight.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’6%
β—† entry$3.15 β†’ close$3.35
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
LM Lerone Murphy v Aaron Pico MONEYLINE WON
β€œI'mma take the dog here. Lorome Murphy plus 140. I just think he's the better overall fighter. For what it's worth, he'll have a two-inch reach advantage here. He's been more active. He's had three fights since Aaron Pico's last fight. He's also undefeated. Are we forgetting that? And he's fought the better competition arguably, but you know, been in the EVENT_DETAILS for a while. I like Lerone Murphy to get it done here.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’16%
β—† entry$2.23 β†’ close$2.65
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
DP Dricus du Plessis v Khamzat Chimaev MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm riding with Drias Dup money line here plus 185. I mean, it's a nice number, but dude, he lands more strikes per minute. He's definitely more well-rounded. He's going to have a one-inch reach advantage for whatever that's worth. He's been more active. He fights twice a year. You know, Khamzat Chimaev only fights like once a year. I just feel like if Drius can survive the early onslaught to Khamzat Chimaev here, it's his to win.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’24%
β—† entry$2.63 β†’ close$3.46
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish