Dricus du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev · Fight IQ

UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev

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Plessis vs ChimaevMain Card · Middleweight JC

Cannonier vs PageMain Card · Middleweight GM

Meerschaert vs OleksiejczukPreliminary Card · Middleweight EB

Barboza vs KloseEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight TE

Elliott vs AsakuraMain Card · Flyweight CH

Hooper vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Lightweight LM

Murphy vs PicoMain Card · Featherweight GN

Neal vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight KS

Silva vs BarbosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BS EN

Susurkaev vs NolanPreliminary Card · Middleweight AI

Idiris vs MoralesEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight JA

Andrade vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight

BEST PRICE We back du Plessis over Chimaev · Middleweight Our fair value$2.56 1xBet pays above fair $3.71

Where to back du Plessis best price · region · EV vs fair $2.56

DraftKings $3.30 +29%

Unibet (UK) $3.10 +21%

EU 1XB 1xBet $3.71 +45%

SportsBet $3.25 +27%

Consensus321 picks · conf 99/99

du Plessis 193

128 Chimaev

pick du Plessis

How it endsmethod calls · du Plessis · crowd line

KO/TKO 54 $4.75

Submission 10 $25.64

Decision 24 $10.68

None 12 $21.37

Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side

du Plessis 23-3 VS 15-0 Chimaev

6'1" height 6'2"

185 lb weight 183 lb

76" reach 75"

32 age 32

Switch stance Orthodox

4.9 strikes landed / min 5.4

53% striking accuracy 58%

3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.2

58% striking defence 41%

3.1 takedowns / 15 min 4.3

45% takedown accuracy 46%

50% takedown defence 100%

0.9 submissions / 15 min 2.8

AI analysis

Deep research · camps & rumours

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What the numbers say

Model vs market39% vs 27%

Consensus193 of 321 analysts

Sharpest angledu Plessis by KO/TKO — 54 of 100 method calls

Recommendation Back du Plessis @ $3.71 · fair $2.56 +45% EDGE

Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight

Capitán Rafucho picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE “give me Xiaame by submission at round number two”

Jonny Says Boxing picks Dricus du Plessis “I got Dricus du Plessis by in that division. watch Dricus du Plessis stops him”

Jonny Says Boxing picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE “I have some action on that. I have ball on the money line. My locks, guys, my money line locks. I put them up in the Discord and I also put them up on our YouTube channel... I have Moses on the money line. I have Raymond Ford on the money line and I have Nick Paul on the money line.”

Keep it a Buck Media picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE

Capper Comparison Picks picks Khamzat Chimaev “I'm predicting Khamzat Chimaev with some sort of a early submission.”

The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE “I'm going with Hamzach in any of the first three rounds. That's even money at FanDuel.” $2.63

The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE “I think Dricus du Plessis is a phenomenal champion and if this fight does extend, I think he will have opportunities to either close the show or win minutes down the stretch.”

Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE “I think Dricus du Plessis is going to surprise everyone man. Uh he's a tough guy that keeps coming. You know what I mean? He's awkward. He doesn't give up and he's got a gas tank where like Kazmat hasn't really fought any like big ass 85 like he fought NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 which is my like opinion he's like the last of the onedimensional guys.”

Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Khamzat Chimaev “Khamzat Chimaev. >> He goes a minus 170. I don't know about that.”