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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev
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DP KC Plessis vs ChimaevMain Card · Middleweight JC MP Cannonier vs PageMain Card · Middleweight GM MO Meerschaert vs OleksiejczukPreliminary Card · Middleweight EB DK Barboza vs KloseEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight TE KA Elliott vs AsakuraMain Card · Flyweight CH AH Hooper vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Lightweight LM AP Murphy vs PicoMain Card · Featherweight GN CP Neal vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight KS DB Silva vs BarbosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BS EN Susurkaev vs NolanPreliminary Card · Middleweight AI JM Idiris vs MoralesEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight JA LG Andrade vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Barboza over Klose · Lightweight Our fair value$1.79 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.91
Where to back Barboza best price · region · EV vs fair $1.79
US BetOnline.ag $1.91 +7%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.83 +2%
EU Pinnacle $1.91 +7%
AU Neds $1.87 +5%
Consensus114 picks · conf 92/99
Barboza 68
46 Klose
MBBTBM pick Barboza
How it endsmethod calls · Barboza · crowd line
KO/TKO 26 $3.71
Decision 27 $3.57
None 1 $96.40
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Barboza 24-12 VS 16-3-1 Klose
5'11" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 156 lb
75" reach 70"
40 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 4.4
44% striking accuracy 55%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
56% striking defence 51%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
50% takedown accuracy 26%
72% takedown defence 69%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market56% vs 52%
Consensus68 of 114 analysts
Sharpest angleBarboza by Decision — 27 of 54 method calls
Recommendation Back Barboza @ $1.91 · fair $1.79 +7% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Edson Barboza “I am taking Edson Barboza”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Drakkar Klose VALUE “Drakkar Klose does get a TKO win”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Edson Barboza “I like beating up the lead leg of Drakkar Klose... I got one unit on Drakkar Klose by TKO, KO or DQ I have on Drakkar Klose to just win straight”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Edson Barboza “I'm going Edson Edson Barboza unless you talk me differently.”
MD mdminds picks Drakkar Klose VALUE $1.38
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Drakkar Klose “I'm an Eden Dione Barbosa fan and both of these guys are decrepit and fragile.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Edson Barboza VALUE “My model says go says close and goes to decision.”
HP Hayjive Picks picks Drakkar Klose VALUE “Number one, Drakkar Klose closed higher than 48 and a half significant strikes.”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Edson Barboza VALUE “I got Edson Barboza on this one.”
WP We Want Picks picks Edson Barboza “I think Edson Barboza wins this fight”
JL Jafari Laury picks Edson Barboza “It has to hit Brian Battle and Edson Barboza.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Edson Barboza VALUE “give me Edson Barboza at minus 140” $1.71
Recent form last five, most recent first
Barboza24-12
L Turner KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Klose Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Murphy Decision · R5 May '24
W Yusuff Decision · R5 Oct '23
W Quarantillo KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
Klose16-3-1
W Barboza Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Álvarez KO/TKO · R1 Dec '24
W Silva Decision · R3 May '24
W Solecki KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W García Decision · R3 Jul '22