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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev
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DP KC Plessis vs ChimaevMain Card · Middleweight JC MP Cannonier vs PageMain Card · Middleweight GM MO Meerschaert vs OleksiejczukPreliminary Card · Middleweight EB DK Barboza vs KloseEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight TE KA Elliott vs AsakuraMain Card · Flyweight CH AH Hooper vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Lightweight LM AP Murphy vs PicoMain Card · Featherweight GN CP Neal vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight KS DB Silva vs BarbosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BS EN Susurkaev vs NolanPreliminary Card · Middleweight AI JM Idiris vs MoralesEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight JA LG Andrade vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Hooper over Hernandez · Lightweight Our fair value$1.31 LiveScore Bet pays above fair $1.36
Where to back Hooper best price · region · EV vs fair $1.31
US BetRivers $1.29 -2%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.36 +4%
EU Pinnacle $1.30 -1%
AU TABtouch $1.29 -2%
Consensus120 picks · conf 96/99
Hooper 93
27 Hernandez
TBMRMM pick Hooper
How it endsmethod calls · Hooper · crowd line
KO/TKO 8 $14.74
Submission 69 $1.71
Decision 12 $9.83
None 1 $117.96
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hooper 16-4-1 VS 18-8 Hernandez
6'1" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 155 lb
74" reach 72"
26 age 33
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 2.6
52% striking accuracy 49%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
36% striking defence 64%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
24% takedown accuracy 52%
55% takedown defence 58%
2.3 submissions / 15 min 1.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market76% vs 74%
Consensus93 of 120 analysts
Sharpest angleHooper by Submission — 69 of 90 method calls
Recommendation Back Hooper @ $1.36 · fair $1.31 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Chase Hooper VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Chase Hooper “I'm on Chase Hooper.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm going Chase Hooper Alexander Hernandez.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alexander Hernandez “Alexander Hernandez often a fast starter, typically wins round one, typically hurts his opponent in round one and then declines.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Chase Hooper “He played Chase Chase Hooper minus 290” $1.34
RX RX picks Chase Hooper VALUE “give me Brian Battle by decision”
EB ESPN BET picks Chase Hooper VALUE “Chase Hooper at 55 where Alexander Hernandez. I love what Chase has been doing here. I think he gets it done.”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I think I got Chase Hooper, man.”
LJ Lucrative James picks Alexander Hernandez “I'm going Chase Hooper side”
WP We Want Picks picks Chase Hooper “I am going to pick Chase Hooper”
TP Tony's Picks picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE “at the massive plus 270 price. I'm I'm looking at Alexander Hernandez here again... Alexander Hernandez most definitely can be one of those.” $3.70
GM GC MMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm just going to have to go Hooper here. Yeah, I think I'm going to go Chase Hooper here, too, because he'll I know he'll be able to get a hold of Alexander Hernandez and hold him down.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hooper16-4-1
L Jr. KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Miller Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Guida Submission · R1 Dec '24
W Borshchev Submission · R2 May '24
Hernandez18-8
L García Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Ferreira KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
W Hooper KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Holobaugh Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Oct '24