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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev
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DP KC Plessis vs ChimaevMain Card · Middleweight JC MP Cannonier vs PageMain Card · Middleweight GM MO Meerschaert vs OleksiejczukPreliminary Card · Middleweight EB DK Barboza vs KloseEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight TE KA Elliott vs AsakuraMain Card · Flyweight CH AH Hooper vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Lightweight LM AP Murphy vs PicoMain Card · Featherweight GN CP Neal vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight KS DB Silva vs BarbosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BS EN Susurkaev vs NolanPreliminary Card · Middleweight AI JM Idiris vs MoralesEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight JA LG Andrade vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Meerschaert over Oleksiejczuk · Middleweight Our fair value$2.80 Betsson pays above fair $3.00
Where to back Meerschaert best price · region · EV vs fair $2.80
US BetMGM $2.80 -0%
UK Virgin Bet $2.95 +5%
EU Betsson $3.00 +7%
AU BoomBet $2.80 -0%
Consensus79 picks · conf 78/99
Meerschaert 32
47 Oleksiejczuk
TTDVLT pick Meerschaert
How it endsmethod calls · Meerschaert · crowd line
KO/TKO 10 $11.77
Submission 31 $3.80
Decision 1 $117.71
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Meerschaert 37-21 VS 22-9 Oleksiejczuk
6'1" height 6'0"
186 lb weight 186 lb
78" reach 74"
38 age 31
Southpaw stance Southpaw
3.1 strikes landed / min 5.1
45% striking accuracy 50%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
53% striking defence 58%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
35% takedown accuracy 43%
42% takedown defence 48%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market36% vs 33%
Consensus32 of 79 analysts
Sharpest angleMeerschaert by Submission — 31 of 42 method calls
Recommendation Back Meerschaert @ $3.00 · fair $2.80 +7% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I'm on um Michał Oleksiejczuk I guess.”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I'm going with him. I'm going with Carlos Proies on this one.”
WP We Want Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE “If you think Michał Oleksiejczuk wins, which I do”
JL Jafari Laury picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE “We're going to throw that $850 on Michał Oleksiejczuk and Michael Page Carlos Prates.”
TP Tony's Picks picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I'm willing to bet that he withstands the first round there from uh Michał Oleksiejczuk and uh Mersard doesn't get a sub or anything early on in this fight... I'm on the over one and a half at even money here between Michael O and Gerald Meerschaert.”
GM GC MMA picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I've got to trust all of Jook here. I think that he can probably put GM3's lights out.”
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I guess I'm going to roll with you on Olen Shuk.”
IF Inside Fighting picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I feel like this is Mikall's fight to win.”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Gerald Meerschaert “give me Mik even landing a big uppercut”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “Bisoner Sussv is the special one... Sucks at KFW. I don't even want to talk about this fight anymore.” $1.08
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I'm just leaning towards Miho Alex winning this fight.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Meerschaert37-21
L Malkoun Decision · R3 May '26
L Daukaus Submission · R1 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Tavares Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Ridder Submission · R3 Nov '24
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L Magomedov Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Barriault Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Meerschaert KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Dumas KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Aug '24