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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev
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DP KC Plessis vs ChimaevMain Card · Middleweight JC MP Cannonier vs PageMain Card · Middleweight GM MO Meerschaert vs OleksiejczukPreliminary Card · Middleweight EB DK Barboza vs KloseEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight TE KA Elliott vs AsakuraMain Card · Flyweight CH AH Hooper vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Lightweight LM AP Murphy vs PicoMain Card · Featherweight GN CP Neal vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight KS DB Silva vs BarbosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BS EN Susurkaev vs NolanPreliminary Card · Middleweight AI JM Idiris vs MoralesEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight JA LG Andrade vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Nolan over Susurkaev · Middleweight Our fair value$5.46 Betsson pays above fair $8.52
Where to back Nolan best price · region · EV vs fair $5.46
US Caesars $8.50 +56%
UK Paddy Power $6.50 +19%
EU Betsson $8.52 +56%
AU Neds $8.00 +46%
Consensus22 picks · conf 46/99
Susurkaev 15
7 Nolan
MPLTMB pick Susurkaev
How it endsmethod calls · Nolan · crowd line
Decision 1 $5.46
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Susurkaev 10-0 VS 8-4 Nolan
6'2" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 183 lb
79" reach 74"
25 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min —
— striking accuracy —
— strikes absorbed / min —
— striking defence —
— takedowns / 15 min —
— takedown accuracy —
— takedown defence —
— submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market18% vs 12%
Consensus7 of 22 analysts
Sharpest angleNolan by Decision — 1 of 1 method calls
Recommendation Back Nolan @ $8.52 · fair $5.46 +56% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Eric Nolan VALUE “I absolutely would love to see Corlos get the victory here... knockout round number two”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Eric Nolan “Against Eric Nolan, the CSFC champion for Saturday.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Baysangur Susurkaev VALUE “Opened minus 850 against Eric Nolan.” $1.12
LJ Lucrative James picks Eric Nolan “Baysangur Susurkaev, [__] that”
WP We Want Picks picks Baysangur Susurkaev “So, he's going to be the pick”
TP Tony's Picks picks Baysangur Susurkaev “give me Baysangur Susurkaev, Baysangur Susurkaev... I guess inside the distance, find those type of props.” $1.10
GM GC MMA picks Baysangur Susurkaev VALUE “I'm taking Baysangur Susurkaev. Okay, bro. Suzak max bet boys. This guy played for the Twins on the weekend. Yeah, I've got the [ __ ] I've got boys.”
KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Baysangur Susurkaev VALUE “I think he Yeah, like you said, probably gets finds a finish in this one.”
SS Spinnin Backfist MMA Show picks Baysangur Susurkaev VALUE “He is the feature prelim... They are giving this guy crazier bumps I've ever seen.”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Baysangur Susurkaev “I think Bay Singer is going to, you know, destroy him”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Baysangur Susurkaev VALUE “give me Ky. I'll say first or second round finish.”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks Baysangur Susurkaev VALUE “I'm all aboard the hype train”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Susurkaev10-0
W Nolan Submission · R2 Aug '25
Nolan8-4
L Hasanov Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Susurkaev Submission · R2 Aug '25