UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · breakdown

Axe Kick Picks Ep 181 | June 13th, 2025

12 months ago 3W–3L · +2.2u 6/9 graded

Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event

Jamey-Lyn Horth v Tereza Bledá MONEYLINE

“I'm going to officially lean Jamie Lyn Horth”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.18 → now$1.18

entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)

Philip Rowe v Ange Loosa PROP · KO/TKO WON

“give me Phil Row ITD plus 340”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$2.35 → close$2.35

Rowe’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $4.40

Ricky Simón v Charles Jourdain METHOD VALUE

“I like the under two and a half rounds”

fight iq ↗

Analyst’s stated line $1.87

analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight

Cody Garbrandt v Raoni Barcelos MONEYLINE LOST

“I'm willing to take him at a dark price here at plus 165”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$3.09 → close$3.09

entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish

Kris Moutinho v Malcolm Wellmaker MONEYLINE LOST

“I'm taking Kris Moutinho”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$12.00 → close$12.00

entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish

Michael Chiesa v Court McGee METHOD WON

“I'm going under under two and a half rounds at plus 165”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.30 → close$1.30

Chiesa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.65

Oumar Sy v Alonzo Menifield PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“Give me that round one win at plus 250 for Omari”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +6%

◆ entry$1.23 → close$1.16

Sy’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.50

Mansur Abdul-Malik v Cody Brundage METHOD WON

“I see this not going to distance”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +9%

◆ entry$1.24 → close$1.14

Abdul-Malik’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.20

Rodolfo Bellato v Paul Craig PROP · KO/TKO —

“I'm gonna stick with the Bolato via KO TKO at minus 125”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −2%

◆ entry$1.29 → now$1.32

Bellato’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.80