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UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley
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BEST PRICE We back Menifield over Sy · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$5.39 Betsson pays above fair $7.00
Where to back Menifield best price · region · EV vs fair $5.39
US BetOnline.ag $7.00 +30%
UK Virgin Bet $6.00 +11%
EU Betsson $7.00 +30%
AU Betr (AU) $6.00 +11%
Consensus153 picks · conf 99/99
Menifield 39
114 Sy
T9JFFC pick Menifield
How it endsmethod calls · Menifield · crowd line
KO/TKO 9 $9.58
Submission 3 $28.75
Decision 3 $28.75
None 1 $86.26
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Menifield 17-6-1 VS 12-1 Sy
6'0" height 6'4"
206 lb weight 206 lb
76" reach 83"
38 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.8 strikes landed / min 4.4
54% striking accuracy 61%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
49% striking defence 63%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
33% takedown accuracy 54%
76% takedown defence 52%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market19% vs 14%
Consensus39 of 153 analysts
Sharpest angleMenifield by KO/TKO — 9 of 16 method calls
Recommendation Back Menifield @ $7.00 · fair $5.39 +30% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Oumar Sy “I do think Oumar Sy going to win”
KP Kick Em In The Head MMA Podcast picks Oumar Sy “give me OOA today” $1.56
TD The Rambling Dad picks Oumar Sy “I'm going with um Oumar Sy” $1.15
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Oumar Sy VALUE “Side by decision. It's a wonderful little scratch off. Plus 220.” $3.20
MM MMAnomaly picks Alonzo Menifield “Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy”
MM MMAnomaly picks Oumar Sy “Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Oumar Sy VALUE “I'm taking Oumar Syody Durden”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Oumar Sy “I'm picking Michael Oumar Syhiesa”
⚔P ⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Oumar Sy VALUE “Oumar Sy's going to go out there and take Alonzo Menifield out in the first round.”
FF Fights & Frags picks Alonzo Menifield “since he's such a big favorite, I'll go with Umar Asai, I guess.”
JS Jobber Sports picks Alonzo Menifield “I got I got on Midfield. I feel like he's going to slow down this this this prospect right here.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Alonzo Menifield VALUE “I like see in the spot. Uh do you know why Julius Walker has never felt strength like that? ... I think he's gonna get Alonzo down.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Menifield17-6-1
W Mingyang KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Oezdemir KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Sy Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Walker Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Murzakanov KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24
Sy12-1
L Cuțelaba Submission · R1 Mar '26
W Ribeiro KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Menifield Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Da-woon Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Tokkos Submission · R1 May '24