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KU
JB
Usman vs BuckleyFight Card · Welterweight
RN
MM
Namajunas vs MaverickFight Card · Women'S Flyweight
MC
CM
Chiesa vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
MA
CB
Abdul-Malik vs BrundageFight Card · Middleweight
ES
AP
Shahbazyan vs PetroskiFight Card · Middleweight
CD
JO
Durden vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
AM
OS
Menifield vs SyFight Card · Light Heavyweight
CG
RB
Garbrandt vs BarcelosFight Card · Bantamweight
PC
RB
Craig vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
JH
VD
Horth vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
MW
KM
Wellmaker vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RS
CS
Simón vs SmothermanPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
PR
AL
Rowe vs LoosaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
JB
Usman vs BuckleyFight Card · Welterweight
RN
MM
Namajunas vs MaverickFight Card · Women'S Flyweight
MC
CM
Chiesa vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
MA
CB
Abdul-Malik vs BrundageFight Card · Middleweight
ES
AP
Shahbazyan vs PetroskiFight Card · Middleweight
CD
JO
Durden vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
AM
OS
Menifield vs SyFight Card · Light Heavyweight
CG
RB
Garbrandt vs BarcelosFight Card · Bantamweight
PC
RB
Craig vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
JH
VD
Horth vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
MW
KM
Wellmaker vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
RS
CS
Simón vs SmothermanPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
PR
AL
Rowe vs LoosaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Usman
over Buckley · Welterweight
Our fair value$2.85
pays above fair
$3.15
Best prices · Usman
Bally Bet · US
$3.00
Virgin Bet · UK
$3.00
Coolbet · EU
$3.15
TAB · AU
$3.05
Where to back Usman
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.85
US
Bally Bet
$3.00
+5%
Bally Bet
$3.00
+5%
UK
Virgin Bet
$3.00
+5%
Virgin Bet
$3.00
+5%
EU
Coolbet
$3.15
+11%
Coolbet
$3.15
+11%
AU
TAB
$3.05
+7%
TAB
$3.05
+7%
How it endsmethod calls · Usman · crowd line
KO/TKO
19
$6.29
Submission
1
$119.59
Decision
19
$6.29
None
3
$39.86
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Usman 20-4
VS
21-7 Buckley
6'0"
height
5'10"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
76"
reach
76"
39
age
32
Switch
stance
Southpaw
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.1
52%
striking accuracy
36%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
54%
striking defence
57%
2.8
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
45%
takedown accuracy
46%
89%
takedown defence
69%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market35% vs 32%
Consensus115 of 272 analysts
Sharpest angleUsman by KO/TKO — 19 of 42 method calls
Recommendation
Back Usman @ $3.15 · fair $2.85
+11% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SS
SledgeHammer Sports picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“I'm going Quacki Joaquin Buckley. Round 2 KO.”
SledgeHammer Sports picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“I'm going Quacki Joaquin Buckley. Round 2 KO.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Kamaru Usman
“I don't think he'll finish Joaquin Buckley at all, but I think he's going to uh win a close decision against Joaquin Buckley.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Kamaru Usman
“I don't think he'll finish Joaquin Buckley at all, but I think he's going to uh win a close decision against Joaquin Buckley.”
VI
VinceMMA picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“I think Buckley is going to win this fight by round 3 KO.”
VinceMMA picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“I think Buckley is going to win this fight by round 3 KO.”
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“Kamar Usman is Kamaru Usman.”
TakeDownTalks picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“Kamar Usman is Kamaru Usman.”
YA
YARDCHAT picks Joaquin Buckley
“I will not be surprised if Joaquin Buckley take this one guys”
YARDCHAT picks Joaquin Buckley
“I will not be surprised if Joaquin Buckley take this one guys”
YA
YARDCHAT picks Kamaru Usman
“my money's on Kamaru Usmanu Usman but guys I will not be surprised if Joaquin Buckley take this one guys I will not be surprised I'm a little bit concerned about Kamaru Usmanu Kamaru Usmanu Usman he's thinking too far ahead I believe you need to focus on this fight this a very important fight do not overlook butley is a beast man and um I heard Kamaru Usman Kamaru Usmanu Usman making plan that he want um uh Dracus um you know Duplicus um I don't know guys he need to relax you know we know that fight coming up Drakus against uh Cosmat you know what I mean that's coming up in the near future guys that's going to be another this is how a lot of things going to loosen up in the welterweight guys this fight between and Kamaru Usmanu Usman going to loos up a lot of things and um we're going to see guys we're going to see how this one played out um man tough guys both Guys, well wellround wellround well-rounded all our wrestling boxing. Uh man, who prediction guys, prediction. Listen guys, like I said, I I I I'm going to go with Kamaru Usmanu Usman, but I will not be surprised if Joaquin Buckley take this one, guys.”
YARDCHAT picks Kamaru Usman
“my money's on Kamaru Usmanu Usman but guys I will not be surprised if Joaquin Buckley take this one guys I will not be surprised I'm a little bit concerned about Kamaru Usmanu Kamaru Usmanu Usman he's thinking too far ahead I believe you need to focus on this fight this a very important fight do not overlook butley is a beast man and um I heard Kamaru Usman Kamaru Usmanu Usman making plan that he want um uh Dracus um you know Duplicus um I don't know guys he need to relax you know we know that fight coming up Drakus against uh Cosmat you know what I mean that's coming up in the near future guys that's going to be another this is how a lot of things going to loosen up in the welterweight guys this fight between and Kamaru Usmanu Usman going to loos up a lot of things and um we're going to see guys we're going to see how this one played out um man tough guys both Guys, well wellround wellround well-rounded all our wrestling boxing. Uh man, who prediction guys, prediction. Listen guys, like I said, I I I I'm going to go with Kamaru Usmanu Usman, but I will not be surprised if Joaquin Buckley take this one, guys.”
MM
MMAvISIONALYSIS picks Kamaru Usman
“my personal opinion, I think that Kamaru Usman realizes that the Joaquin Buckley fight is literally his last opportunity at redemption. And if he was to beat Joaquin Buckley, the toughest fight for anybody in that welterweight division, by the way, I do digress a bit. then he's on his way back uh you know to a title shot perhaps three fights down the line this guy fights for a title saying he wins all three fights”
MMAvISIONALYSIS picks Kamaru Usman
“my personal opinion, I think that Kamaru Usman realizes that the Joaquin Buckley fight is literally his last opportunity at redemption. And if he was to beat Joaquin Buckley, the toughest fight for anybody in that welterweight division, by the way, I do digress a bit. then he's on his way back uh you know to a title shot perhaps three fights down the line this guy fights for a title saying he wins all three fights”
MM
MMAvISIONALYSIS picks Joaquin Buckley
“Sean Brady believes that Joaquin Joaquin Buckley is the favorite to win the fight between obviously Joaquin Buckley and Kamaru Usman”
MMAvISIONALYSIS picks Joaquin Buckley
“Sean Brady believes that Joaquin Joaquin Buckley is the favorite to win the fight between obviously Joaquin Buckley and Kamaru Usman”
HT
HTMMA picks Kamaru Usman
“That is why I've got Kamaru Kamaru Usman Kamaru Usman Kamaru Usman from Nebraska Kamaru Kamaru Usman the Nigerian nightmare Kamaru Usman by either late fourthround TKO or unanimous decision victory against Joaquin Joaquin Buckley.”
HTMMA picks Kamaru Usman
“That is why I've got Kamaru Kamaru Usman Kamaru Usman Kamaru Usman from Nebraska Kamaru Kamaru Usman the Nigerian nightmare Kamaru Usman by either late fourthround TKO or unanimous decision victory against Joaquin Joaquin Buckley.”
LC
La Dimension De Chris picks Joaquin Buckley
“veo a Joaquin Buckley ganando. este combate, ya sea por knockout en los primeros asaltos o ya sea por decisión unánime”
La Dimension De Chris picks Joaquin Buckley
“veo a Joaquin Buckley ganando. este combate, ya sea por knockout en los primeros asaltos o ya sea por decisión unánime”
FM
FULL SEND MMA picks Kamaru Usman
“I'm going to put him away.”
FULL SEND MMA picks Kamaru Usman
“I'm going to put him away.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Usman20-4
W
Buckley
Jun '25
L
Chimaev
Oct '23
L
Edwards
Mar '23
L
Edwards
Aug '22
W
Covington
Nov '21
Buckley21-7
L
Brady
May '26
L
Usman
Jun '25
W
Covington
Dec '24
W
Thompson
Oct '24
W
Ruziboev
May '24