UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · breakdown
UFC 301 Brazil | Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg | Full Card Breakdown, Picks, and Betting Tips
BM
Broke Bets MMA52% hit
26 months ago
4W–9L
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
IB
Ismael Bonfim
v Vinc Pichel
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Ismael Bonfim
v Vinc Pichel
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“we're going with Ismael Bonfim um Vinc Pichel just up there in age um not particularly great anywhere he's pretty well-rounded um but when it comes to this part of the game that age advantage and Ismael Bonfim really is a phenomenal fighter”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.20
Bonfim’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JA
José Aldo
v Jonathan Martinez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
José Aldo
v Jonathan Martinez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“we're going to go with ruy but if I hadn't seen Jamie Malarkey's chin be so [ __ ] in recent fights”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.45
→
close$2.35
Aldo’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
IL
Iasmin Lucindo
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
PROP · DECISION
WON
Iasmin Lucindo
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
PROP · DECISION
WON
“going with luciendo um 22 years old versus 38 years old that's a big discrepancy right there and power I think power in the on the feet is a big deal and Iasmin Lucindo has nice power nice volume in her striking”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.32
→
close$1.25
Lucindo’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DK
Drakkar Klose
v Joaquim Silva
PROP · DECISION
WON
Drakkar Klose
v Joaquim Silva
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I'm going to end up with going with gise cuz these fight styles that gise and these other [ __ ] guys like aagna Ian Gary the fight style they have um it just happens to be so effective for winning decisions”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.59
Klose’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
EB
Elves Brener
v Myktybek Orolbai
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Elves Brener
v Myktybek Orolbai
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going to go with Elves Brener um again give me I think I understand why he's the underdog but two to one odds on this guy who beat gam who went blow for blow with gam”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.07
→
close$3.15
Brener’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JB
Joanderson Brito
v Jack Shore
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Joanderson Brito
v Jack Shore
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“give me Joanderson Brito um Jack Shore extremely well-rounded I liked him better at 135 and to be honest I think he could have leaned out a whole lot more at 135 instead of moving up to 145”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.65
Brito’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DB
Dione Barbosa
v Ernesta Kareckaitė
PROP · DECISION
WON
Dione Barbosa
v Ernesta Kareckaitė
PROP · DECISION
WON
“going with Dione Barbosa in this one Ernesta Kareckaitė I see this fight style and it looked impressive on the uh Contender series cuz it was extremely high volume but truthfully what I saw was just a girl willing to throw a million punches”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.52
→
close$1.49
Barbosa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KB
Kevin Borjas
v Alessandro Costa
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Kevin Borjas
v Alessandro Costa
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to go with Kevin Borjas here and uh I'll I'll quickly explain why and I'll let you uh get your point in on this one as well I just feel like boras is so fast”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +9%
◆ entry$2.35
→
close$2.15
Borjas’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JS
Joaquim Silva
v Drakkar Klose
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Joaquim Silva
v Drakkar Klose
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going with joem Silva um this guy I think he's been looking good uh for his age in these fights um he's very physically strong and I think his cardio holds up pretty well”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.70
Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MP
Michel Pereira
v Ihor Potieria
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Michel Pereira
v Ihor Potieria
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“going with Michel Pereira just looking good at 185 I do feel this is kind of interesting though Pereira a former welterweight um you know looks huge at 185”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +7%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.17
Pereira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
VP
Vitor Petrino
v Anthony Smith
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Vitor Petrino
v Anthony Smith
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“gotta go with VOR patrino he's way too big of a favorite um just with his experience level he's looking good not playing his money line but uh I liking over one and a half in this fight”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.20
Petrino’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JM
Jonathan Martinez
v José Aldo
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Jonathan Martinez
v José Aldo
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm gonna go with Jonathan Martinez um as good as José Aldo is I think at moments in this fight he may just be a little bit low volume and Martinez might just poke and prod with that left leg”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.78
→
close$1.73
Martinez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AP
Alexandre Pantoja
v Steve Erceg
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Alexandre Pantoja
v Steve Erceg
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“give me the champ give me Alexandre Pantoja I'm shocked this line right now is minus 240 um and he was like minus 2 220 versus Brandon royval who has been in a lot of big fights”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.56
Pantoja’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted