UFC DraftKings Picks | UFC Jacksonville Emmett vs Topuria Preview | UFC DFS Strategy

“I have to favor tapori in this fight he is way younger than Josh Emmett he is also Josh Emmett 38 years old he's had a number of Super difficult weight cuts at the featherweight Division I think there's a chance this is his last fight in this Division if he loses I think Josh Hemet either moves up to lightweight from featherweight or he retires because you see how sucked out he looks after some of these weight cuts when he's doing interviews and why not afterwards or just when you see him get on the scale so the age difference is going to play a big difference and then also Ilia Topuria does a more well-rounded game to pour it there's more output he's a much better Grappler Josh Emmett has a wrestling background but we never see him use it in the UFC for reference Josh Abbott lands 1.07 takedowns per 15 minutes it only is it 58 takedown defense if tipporah gets his wrestling going which I hope he does because that's the path to least resistance with only a 58 takedown defense from Josh Emmett I do think tapori could get this fight to the ground I think could wear on Josh Emmett who I think we should be concerned about his gas tank at this part in his career just the difficulty of the weight cut for him his age if Ilia Topuria wrestles I think he wins this fight fairly easily”

“I picked Brundage to win the fight just because if he does implement his wrestling I think he should be able to get Sedriques Dumas out of there pretty easily”

“mariscal I think is the better fighter of these two but he's only taking this fight on about a week's notice he's coming up a weight class and he's not a massively big featherweight as is so he's going to be undersized here you see a little bit of a reach disadJoshua Vantage two inches shorter than Trevor Peek also you know you always wonder about the cardio and how prepared somebody is when they're taking a fight on one week's notice when Trevor Peek has been preparing for this for a long time all things being equal if these guys had equal training camps and mariscal was able to get up to this weight when he typically fights at featherweight and now he's going to be fighting at lightweight I would be picking mariscal fairly confidently in this fight”

“I'm going to give you guys a bet here as well on Tabatha Ricci I bet her minus 120 to beat Gillian Robertson I think the best line available now let me look it was minus 130 earlier in the day and it is currently at all right best available line for Tabatha Ricci is minus 125 on that MGM very playable line on Tabitha Tabatha Ricci who I think has a lot of adJoshua Vantages in this fight especially because Julian Robertson is non-existent takedown defense I know that Gillian Robertson is a very excellent submission Grappler but Tabatha Ricci's a black belt and I don't know that she's going to be submitted easily if she's holding top position which I think she's going to be able to in this fight I also think she has big striking adJoshua Vantages so if she chooses to stand in trade and doesn't look to wrestle I don't think Robertson is going to be able to take down Tabatha Ricci and I would expect Tabatha Ricci to win the Striking exchanges but if this fight does hit the ground Ritchie lands 4.64 takedowns per 15 minutes Gillian Robertson only is 25 takedown defense a lot of that is because Robertson typically wants her fights on the ground because that's where she ends up winning her fights usually is by submission so she wants the fight to be on the match she doesn't want it to be standing but I don't know that she could submit Tabatha Ricci if Tabatha Ricci's holding top position so I think that this line should be probably closer to like a minus 180 to minus 200 favorite for Tabatha Ricci”

“I think Neil Magny is getting slept on a little bit for this week so we currently have Neil Magny projected for right around 20 ownership 21 to be exact as our current ownership exact projection on Neil Neil Magny and I think he's better than Philip Rowe everywhere in this matchup and I know that people are kind of low on Neil magnet because of some of his recent performances but I think we have to give him a break because of the competition all right he loses to shavkot rachmanov no shame in that he beats the crap out of Daniel Rodriguez controls him on the ground ends up submitting him and then he gets quickly subbed by Gilbert burns like how much of a demerit are we giving are we giving Neil Maggie for losing the shav Khan rahmanov and Gilbert Burns Phil row would get his ass kicked by these guys too and then you look at Phil Rose level of competition like yeah Philip Rowe beat Nico price Philip Rowe beat Jason Witt Phil robito Ryan Cosi guess what Neil Magnus absolutely sweeping the floor with these guys as well and there is a really big gap in the takedown defense for Philip Rowe he only defends takedowns at a 52 clip if this fight takes place at defeat yeah I think it would be relatively competitable though I would still favor Neil Magny to win but if this fight is going to be won where Neil Neil Magny implements his wrestling lands 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes and then Phil Rowe only defends him at 52 percent I would favor Neil Magny to win very handily”

“I think Justin Tafa probably knocks him out so it's off of somebody else who I like paying up for”

“if Brendan Allen looks to wrestle in this fight I think that he wins this more often than on probably puts up a pretty good draftking score”

“I think Randy Brown has knockout Equity against Wellington Turman I'm pretty interested in term on coming down in weight I do wonder if his wrestling game plans will just play better coming down a weight class where he's just gonna be more physically imposing he also looks shockingly good on the scale like he looks pretty cut he looks as good physically as I've ever seen it's going to be his UFC debut in this weight class but Randy Brown also I think is very live for a knockout and Wellington Turman has terrible durability so I'm gonna throw Randy Brown in here”

“I think that Juma glove should score fairly well in a win against Joshua Van and I also think he has some wrestling grappling upside so I think that Juma glove should score fairly well in a win”

“I lean towards the Santo side because I think there's less variance when somebody has the wrestling upside and I do think he's going to come up with a sharp game plan just because of what we saw in his matchup against Murphy”