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Aaron The Dog MMA
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · breakdown

UFC Fight Night: Tom Aspinall vs Marcin Tybura Full Card Betting Breakdown and Predictions

AM Aaron The Dog MMA 56% hit
36 months ago 12W–11L · +3.3u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JF Jafel Filho v Daniel Bárez MONEYLINE WON
“so I do think jafelle gets it done on the feet I think it's a much more closer than on the ground for filo so overall I like the price I got I feel like I'm at minus 115 two days ago uh that I'm straight I'm gonna have him in a possibly a favorite favorite parlay”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.87 close$1.93
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
DB Daniel Bárez v Jafel Filho PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“if you're betting Daniel Bárez bed and by KO here because I do think that he does have the power on his side here”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.10 close$2.05
Bárez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SB Shauna Bannon v Bruna Brasil MONEYLINE LOST
“I mean I'd love to take the dog and Shauna Bannon I'm going to take Bruna Brasil”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.35 close$2.35
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
BB Bruna Brasil v Shauna Bannon MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to take Bruna Brasil uh for my very very um small favorite favorite parlay to start out the card um but Bruno should get this done probably by day probably decision”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.74 close$1.69
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
YA Yanal Ashmouz v Chris Duncan MONEYLINE LOST
“I got Yano here uh talk to myself in diano by decision um but maybe they're over two and a half if you want to go one way or the other on that but what's your thoughts on this one”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.35 close$2.34
entry: BlueBet · best in any region at publish
CD Chris Duncan v Yanal Ashmouz MONEYLINE WON
“I parlay Chris Duncan because I'm really smart and I you know I got him at minus 160”
Line since pick CLV +8%
◆ entry$1.83 close$1.69
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
MD Marc Diakiese v Joel Álvarez PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“Viera can finish the fight it wouldn't surprise me if Fiera just catches one of those kind of check left hook type of things”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.70 close$2.75
Diakiese’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BB Bryan Barberena v Makhmud Muradov MONEYLINE LOST
“I think that barbarina is going to take some shots maybe get finished in round two instead of round one but I think meredov is going to put a beating on Bryan Barberena and uh if he doesn't knock him out it's gonna get very bloody”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.85 close$3.85
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MP Mick Parkin v Jamal Pogues MONEYLINE WON
“I do think Pogues should be able to cover a minus 140 ticket so I did put him in a parlay um and uh I do like him in the spot by most likely a decision”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.42 close$2.40
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JP Jonny Parsons v Danny Roberts PROP · KO/TKO WON
“Jonny Parsons has had some you know drug test issues hasn't been back in the Octagon since having a split decision against Solomon Renfrow and if you know how I feel about Solomon Renfro uh you know that's a red red flag um Danny Roberts is a better MMA fighter Jonny Parsons hits a lot harder”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.01 close$2.10
Parsons’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.00
DR Danny Roberts v Jonny Parsons MONEYLINE LOST
“Danny Roberts is a better MMA fighter Jonny Parsons hits a lot harder Johnny Parsons might knock him out I just think Danny Roberts is going to out MMA him and survive to get a split decision”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.92 close$1.91
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
DG Davey Grant v Daniel Marcos MONEYLINE LOST
“I do think that he's had a number that I was willing to parlay and bet uh solo so I got Marco I got Daniel Marcos here”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.30 close$2.33
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JC Joshua Culibao v Lerone Murphy MONEYLINE LOST
“I think Josh cool about is the level that he kind of meets in the middle and we see here both guys names because it's gonna be a split decision”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.27 close$2.25
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
JH Jai Herbert v Farès Ziam MONEYLINE LOST
“I do think but he's still pretty pensive um he got submitted by McKinney so I mean you know that's uh that's beyond a red flag but honestly like I think that Jai Herbert probably has enough kind of Veteran guile to get this one done”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.45 close$2.50
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
JS Julija Stoliarenko v Molly McCann MONEYLINE WON
“I always loved the Paul Craig KO play myself because it's always going to be Juiced and uh he's gonna be another Jiu Jitsu guy who's probably willing to throw whatever and he's not worried about getting taken down”
Line since pick CLV +25%
◆ entry$3.50 close$2.80
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
PC Paul Craig v André Muniz MONEYLINE WON
“I got Paul Craig at plus 185 yesterday I'm sticking with it I do think that he could win a decision but I think it's going to get finished here and I think it's going to get finished by KO”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.90 close$2.95
entry: FanDuel · best in any region at publish
AF Andre Fili v Nathaniel Wood MONEYLINE LOST
“I do think he's starting to not be able to kind of apply that same pressure with the wrestling and I do think that the shots are starting to wear a little bit more I think the speed also is going to be a big disadvantage here for him against Nathaniel Wood”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.85 close$2.80
entry: Betclic · best in any region at publish
NW Nathaniel Wood v Andre Fili MONEYLINE WON
“I still like wood honestly I didn't think that would most likely by decision seems like what would make the most sense”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.51
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
TA Tom Aspinall v Marcin Tybura MONEYLINE WON
“I think the submission is uh the side on Tom aspinel I am going to most likely play I haven't decided the prop I'm going to play to cover the other side here and hedge but uh I do think I lean towards Tom aspinall”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.22 close$1.22
entry: Betclic · best in any region at publish
MM Molly McCann v Julija Stoliarenko MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm gonna say that stoliarenko gets knocked out I'm gonna say that Molly weathers the storm and knocks her out”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.50
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
LM Lerone Murphy v Joshua Culibao MONEYLINE WON
“I'll pick larone Murphy for the show I guess but you know if you want to tell me why the split decision song Wu Choi uh opponent Josh colabao should be trusted I'm all about listening to it”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.77 close$1.74
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
Joel Álvarez v Marc Diakiese MONEYLINE WON
“I think Penny gets a decision this is one that I'll give you credit because I was went to you early in the week I was looking to get on Viera and just have someone tell me yeah and you kind of right away uh fought the other way”
Line since pick CLV +10%
◆ entry$1.71 close$1.56
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
DM Daniel Marcos v Davey Grant MONEYLINE WON
“I do think he puts him away here by Marcos um but a decision definitely in play too but I am very big believer in Marcos”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.80 close$1.77
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish