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Ain't No Way MMA
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · breakdown

Breakdown of the First UFC Fight Night of 2025

AM Ain't No Way MMA
17 months ago 7W–4L · +2.0u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TM Thiago Moisés v Trey Ogden PROP · DECISION WON
“I think he's probably going to lose his fight by decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.61 close$1.61
Moisés’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CC Chris Curtis v Roman Kopylov MONEYLINE LOST
“if Chris Curtis can actually impose himself and keep the pressure high maybe get some takedowns against the fence and some ground and pound I think Chris Curtis gets it if Chris Curtis can show he's improved and has fight IQ I think he wins but if there's no improvement copy love skirted away with a decision”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.20 close$3.20
entry: NordicBet · best in any region at publish
CH Carlston Harris v Santiago Ponzinibbio MONEYLINE LOST
“I think Carlson Harris has genuine talent but I think he is a dirty cheat ... if he can't impose his pressure and pick out from the outside land his shots correctly I see Santiago ponzano pressuring him against the cage just volume destroying him”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.20 close$2.20
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
CR Christian Rodriguez v Austin Bashi MONEYLINE WON
“I want to lean for Christian Rodriguez ... I like Christian Rodriguez a lot I think he's extremely underrated he's really good at busting these you know new prospects”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.45 close$3.45
entry: NordicBet · best in any region at publish
CA César Almeida v Abdul Razak Alhassan MONEYLINE WON
“I don't think César Almeida has aged well and gracefully into the UFC ... his grappling is really bad and I I can't see a world where Abdul Rak alhassan doesn't mix up the grappling the Striking and then catches them maybe with a knee or really hard head kick I think that's his path to Victory”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.41
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JS Jacobe Smith v Preston Parsons MONEYLINE WON
“I think Preston Parsons has a lot of potential in the UFC and I think he's extremely underrated ... I like Jacobe Smith a lot ... I think there's a really good chance this fight's actually an upset”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.22
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
UM Uroš Medić v Punahele Soriano MONEYLINE LOST
“the nice thing about Uroš Medić is I feel like he has a style most melter weights don't have ... but uh pun punah helano is generally a pretty average fighter ... I see that happening again ... getting the first or second round tko's”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.52 close$1.52
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
TM Thiago Moisés v Trey Ogden MONEYLINE WON
“Thiago Moisés has been old for a while but he performs really well as an old man ... I think Thiago Moisés poses a threat for just about anyone”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.61 close$1.61
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
RK Roman Kopylov v Chris Curtis MONEYLINE WON
“these guys are both very exciting in my opinion especially when it comes to the Striking ... I don't see a Universe where he wins this fight he's probably going to get flatlined down in the flyweight division”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.47 close$1.47
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
PS Punahele Soriano v Uroš Medić MONEYLINE WON
“the nice thing about Uroš Medić is I feel like he has a style most melter weights don't have ... but uh pun punah helano is generally a pretty average fighter”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.90 close$2.90
entry: NordicBet · best in any region at publish
AB Austin Bashi v Christian Rodriguez MONEYLINE LOST
“I really like Austin Bashi style ... he's very athletic and he has very slick grappling ... I feel like Arosa has like one of those really deadly Guillotines ... but I'm hoping the actually older fighter in Christian Rodriguez ... we'll see who lasts but this honestly is like a 50-50 fight for me so it'll be exciting to see who wins”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.39 close$1.39
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish