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Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
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AR
Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
SP
CH
Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
CA
AA
Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
RK
CC
Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
CR
AB
Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
PS
UM
Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
FB
JJ
Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MT
IP
Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TM
TO
Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JS
PP
Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
EK
NC
Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BL
MG
Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
FK
VD
Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NA
JS
Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Medić v Soriano
Welterweight
Our fair value
$1.51
best price $1.49
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Medić
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.51
US
DraftKings
$1.49
-1%
DraftKings
$1.49
-1%
UK
Virgin Bet
$1.44
-5%
Virgin Bet
$1.44
-5%
EU
MB
Marathon Bet
$1.49
-1%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$1.48
-2%
Ladbrokes AU
$1.48
-2%
How it endsmethod calls · Medić · crowd line
KO/TKO
19
$2.30
Submission
1
$43.78
Decision
6
$7.30
DQ
1
$43.78
None
2
$21.89
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Soriano 12-4
VS
10-2 Medić
5'11"
height
—
171 lb
weight
—
72"
reach
—
33
age
33
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
4.4
strikes landed / min
5.5
60%
striking accuracy
60%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
51%
striking defence
58%
1.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
53%
takedown accuracy
50%
73%
takedown defence
55%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 67%
Consensus32 of 48 analysts
Sharpest angleMedić by KO/TKO — 19 of 29 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MA
MMA Attic picks Punahele Soriano VALUE
“the model is ready for an upset so we're taking Punahele Soriano at plus 160”
$2.60
MMA Attic picks Punahele Soriano VALUE
“the model is ready for an upset so we're taking Punahele Soriano at plus 160”
$2.60
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Uroš Medić
“I gotta go with Uroš Medić the favorite”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Uroš Medić
“I gotta go with Uroš Medić the favorite”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Uroš Medić
“eu vou de Uroš Medić”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Uroš Medić
“eu vou de Uroš Medić”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Uroš Medić
“the nice thing about Uroš Medić is I feel like he has a style most melter weights don't have ... but uh pun punah helano is generally a pretty average fighter ... I see that happening again ... getting the first or second round tko's”
Ain't No Way MMA picks Uroš Medić
“the nice thing about Uroš Medić is I feel like he has a style most melter weights don't have ... but uh pun punah helano is generally a pretty average fighter ... I see that happening again ... getting the first or second round tko's”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Punahele Soriano
“the nice thing about Uroš Medić is I feel like he has a style most melter weights don't have ... but uh pun punah helano is generally a pretty average fighter”
Ain't No Way MMA picks Punahele Soriano
“the nice thing about Uroš Medić is I feel like he has a style most melter weights don't have ... but uh pun punah helano is generally a pretty average fighter”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Punahele Soriano
“next fight Uroš Medić ver Punahele Soriano I originally really liked menish here but um Line's about - 210 looks like he's maybe a little taller probably a little longer but uh sorano's thick he's strong he's been getting better it's probably a staya away”
$1.48
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Punahele Soriano
“next fight Uroš Medić ver Punahele Soriano I originally really liked menish here but um Line's about - 210 looks like he's maybe a little taller probably a little longer but uh sorano's thick he's strong he's been getting better it's probably a staya away”
$1.48
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Uroš Medić VALUE
“I see him beating Punahele Soriano and uh starts the card off with a nice entertaining W”
$1.45
MMA EXPERTS picks Uroš Medić VALUE
“I see him beating Punahele Soriano and uh starts the card off with a nice entertaining W”
$1.45
KU
Kunath picks Uroš Medić
“Punahele Soriano he's on first round knockout or get tired watch as well so I'm not really interested”
Kunath picks Uroš Medić
“Punahele Soriano he's on first round knockout or get tired watch as well so I'm not really interested”
MP
MMA Pros Pick picks Uroš Medić
“I think Uroš Medić gets it done against Puna Sano”
MMA Pros Pick picks Uroš Medić
“I think Uroš Medić gets it done against Puna Sano”
VM
Verbal Sparring MMA picks Punahele Soriano
“Punahele Soriano who's looking to make it two consecutive victories after a stretch of fights”
Verbal Sparring MMA picks Punahele Soriano
“Punahele Soriano who's looking to make it two consecutive victories after a stretch of fights”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Soriano12-4
W
Brahimaj
Feb '26
W
Veretennikov
Oct '25
W
Medić
Jan '25
W
Baeza
Jun '24
L
Stoltzfus
Dec '23
Medić10-2
W
Neal
Feb '26
W
Salikhov
Nov '25
W
Urbina
Aug '25
L
Soriano
Jan '25
W
Means
Apr '24