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Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
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AA
Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
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Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
CR
AB
Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
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Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
FB
JJ
Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MT
IP
Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TM
TO
Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JS
PP
Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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NC
Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BL
MG
Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
FK
VD
Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NA
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Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Kareckaitė v Caliari
Women'S Flyweight
Our fair value
$1.41
best price $1.40
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Kareckaitė
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.41
US
FanDuel
$1.39
-2%
FanDuel
$1.39
-2%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.40
-1%
Paddy Power
$1.40
-1%
EU
EVE
Everygame
$1.38
-2%
AU
PlayUp
$1.38
-2%
PlayUp
$1.38
-2%
How it endsmethod calls · Kareckaitė · crowd line
Submission
1
$7.06
Decision
3
$2.35
None
1
$7.06
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Kareckaitė 5-1-1
VS
8-4 Caliari
—
height
5'3"
—
weight
126 lb
—
reach
62"
27
age
29
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
7.9
strikes landed / min
1.9
42%
striking accuracy
52%
6.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
43%
striking defence
31%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
6.3
66%
takedown accuracy
66%
86%
takedown defence
0%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
6.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market71% vs 71%
Consensus29 of 40 analysts
Sharpest angleKareckaitė by Decision — 3 of 5 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MA
MMA Attic picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“back to the women with Ernesta Kareckaitė versus Nicolle Caliari and Ernesta Kareckaitė is the minus two 75 favorite and getting our bet”
$1.36
MMA Attic picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“back to the women with Ernesta Kareckaitė versus Nicolle Caliari and Ernesta Kareckaitė is the minus two 75 favorite and getting our bet”
$1.36
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“my pick is Ernesta Kareckaitė”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“my pick is Ernesta Kareckaitė”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Nicolle Caliari
“Ernesta Ernesta Kareckaitė que vai enfrentar Nicolle Caliari”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Nicolle Caliari
“Ernesta Ernesta Kareckaitė que vai enfrentar Nicolle Caliari”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“Mas na minha opinião a Ernesta Kareckaitė deve vencer o combate por decisão”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“Mas na minha opinião a Ernesta Kareckaitė deve vencer o combate por decisão”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Nicolle Caliari VALUE
“Nicolle Caliari looks thick looks big looks ready and I think her skills are better I think she's more experienced M fighter plus 2 that is an official pick two units”
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Nicolle Caliari VALUE
“Nicolle Caliari looks thick looks big looks ready and I think her skills are better I think she's more experienced M fighter plus 2 that is an official pick two units”
MP
MMA Pros Pick picks Nicolle Caliari VALUE
“I'm pretty sure that Nicolle Caliari walks away with a W in this one”
MMA Pros Pick picks Nicolle Caliari VALUE
“I'm pretty sure that Nicolle Caliari walks away with a W in this one”
OH
OhioPlayer picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“I'm very well thinking she's going to [ __ ] whoop this [ __ ] girl she's listed at 5'10 that may as well be six foot in women you know Nicolle Caliari is like 53 it's going to be interesting it's going to be interesting Ernesta Kareckaitė is going to put on a striking m match Master Class”
OhioPlayer picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“I'm very well thinking she's going to [ __ ] whoop this [ __ ] girl she's listed at 5'10 that may as well be six foot in women you know Nicolle Caliari is like 53 it's going to be interesting it's going to be interesting Ernesta Kareckaitė is going to put on a striking m match Master Class”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Nicolle Caliari VALUE
“newcomer Nicolle Nicolle Caliari a 7,000 uh like I said earlier I I never like to ignore a fighter with a 100% finish rate here we have a fighter with a 100% finish rate in calari um and yeah I think she has some paths here”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Nicolle Caliari VALUE
“newcomer Nicolle Nicolle Caliari a 7,000 uh like I said earlier I I never like to ignore a fighter with a 100% finish rate here we have a fighter with a 100% finish rate in calari um and yeah I think she has some paths here”
TC
The Finz Chats picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“I picked Ernesta Kareckaitė to win because I believe that she'll be able to thwart the submission threats on the ground because she's fought Jiu-Jitsu people before”
The Finz Chats picks Ernesta Kareckaitė VALUE
“I picked Ernesta Kareckaitė to win because I believe that she'll be able to thwart the submission threats on the ground because she's fought Jiu-Jitsu people before”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Nicolle Caliari VALUE
“give me Nicolle Caliari”
$3.20
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Nicolle Caliari VALUE
“give me Nicolle Caliari”
$3.20
TH
ThatBettingDude picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“I see the fight going to the more well-rounded Ernesta Kareckaitė”
ThatBettingDude picks Ernesta Kareckaitė
“I see the fight going to the more well-rounded Ernesta Kareckaitė”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Kareckaitė5-1-1
L
Tarin
Feb '26
W
Caliari
Jan '25
L
Barbosa
May '24
Caliari8-4
W
Bannon
May '26
L
Judice
Jul '25
L
Kareckaitė
Jan '25