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MD
AR
Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
SP
CH
Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
CA
AA
Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
RK
CC
Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
CR
AB
Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
PS
UM
Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
FB
JJ
Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MT
IP
Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TM
TO
Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JS
PP
Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
EK
NC
Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BL
MG
Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
FK
VD
Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NA
JS
Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AR
Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
SP
CH
Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
CA
AA
Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
RK
CC
Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
CR
AB
Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
PS
UM
Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
FB
JJ
Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MT
IP
Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TM
TO
Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JS
PP
Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
EK
NC
Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BL
MG
Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
FK
VD
Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NA
JS
Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Almeida
over Razak Alhassan · Middleweight
Our fair value$1.41
pays above fair
$1.43
Best prices · Almeida
BetOnline.ag · US
$1.43
LiveScore Bet · UK
$1.37
Pinnacle · EU
$1.43
PlayUp · AU
$1.40
Where to back Almeida
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.41
US
BetOnline.ag
$1.43
+1%
BetOnline.ag
$1.43
+1%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$1.37
-3%
LiveScore Bet
$1.37
-3%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.43
+1%
Pinnacle
$1.43
+1%
AU
PlayUp
$1.40
-1%
PlayUp
$1.40
-1%
How it endsmethod calls · Almeida · crowd line
KO/TKO
12
$2.23
Submission
1
$26.79
Decision
6
$4.46
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Almeida 6-1
VS
12-6 Razak Alhassan
6'1"
height
5'10"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
74"
reach
73"
38
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.1
strikes landed / min
3.6
57%
striking accuracy
49%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
47%
striking defence
55%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
0%
takedown accuracy
38%
57%
takedown defence
51%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market71% vs 70%
Consensus41 of 55 analysts
Sharpest angleAlmeida by KO/TKO — 12 of 19 method calls
Recommendation
Back Almeida @ $1.43 · fair $1.41
+1% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MA
MMA Attic picks César Almeida
“the model heavily favors César Almeida so we placed a wager on him at minus 280”
$1.36
MMA Attic picks César Almeida
“the model heavily favors César Almeida so we placed a wager on him at minus 280”
$1.36
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks César Almeida
“I got César Almeida”
Capper Comparison Picks picks César Almeida
“I got César Almeida”
MA
MMA Attic picks César Almeida
“and the model is leaning heavily to César Almeida at over 60%”
MMA Attic picks César Almeida
“and the model is leaning heavily to César Almeida at over 60%”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks César Almeida
“vou de César Almeida vencendo por decisão”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks César Almeida
“vou de César Almeida vencendo por decisão”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks César Almeida
“I don't think César Almeida has aged well and gracefully into the UFC ... his grappling is really bad and I I can't see a world where Abdul Rak alhassan doesn't mix up the grappling the Striking and then catches them maybe with a knee or really hard head kick I think that's his path to Victory”
Ain't No Way MMA picks César Almeida
“I don't think César Almeida has aged well and gracefully into the UFC ... his grappling is really bad and I I can't see a world where Abdul Rak alhassan doesn't mix up the grappling the Striking and then catches them maybe with a knee or really hard head kick I think that's his path to Victory”
MM
Mayor MMA picks César Almeida
“therefore I don't think he's going to win”
Mayor MMA picks César Almeida
“therefore I don't think he's going to win”
MP
MMA Pros Pick picks César Almeida
“I think César Almeida is going to walk walk away with a KO”
MMA Pros Pick picks César Almeida
“I think César Almeida is going to walk walk away with a KO”
VM
Verbal Sparring MMA picks César Almeida
“César Almeida the six and one Prospect is taking on Abdul Razak Alhassan”
Verbal Sparring MMA picks César Almeida
“César Almeida the six and one Prospect is taking on Abdul Razak Alhassan”
OH
OhioPlayer picks César Almeida VALUE
“César Almeidaida striking master class that's all I'll say”
OhioPlayer picks César Almeida VALUE
“César Almeidaida striking master class that's all I'll say”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Abdul Razak Alhassan VALUE
“with allisan I kind of lean more towards playing him especially with this insane price savings because this guy has knock out upside this guy has what 12 wins 11 of them coming in in the first round and then I also think he has sneaky taked down upside as well”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Abdul Razak Alhassan VALUE
“with allisan I kind of lean more towards playing him especially with this insane price savings because this guy has knock out upside this guy has what 12 wins 11 of them coming in in the first round and then I also think he has sneaky taked down upside as well”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Almeida6-1
L
Oleksiejczuk
Dec '25
W
Alhassan
Jan '25
W
Potieria
Oct '24
L
Kopylov
Jun '24
W
Budka
Apr '24
Razak Alhassan12-6
L
Almeida
Jan '25
L
Pyfer
Oct '23
W
Ribeiro
Jan '23
L
Buckley
Feb '22
W
Chirico
Aug '21