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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
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MD AR Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight SP CH Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight CA AA Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight RK CC Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight CR AB Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight PS UM Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight FB JJ Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight MT IP Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight TM TO Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight JS PP Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight EK NC Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BL MG Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight FK VD Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight NA JS Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Aliev over Solecki · Lightweight Our fair value$1.13 Betr (AU) pays above fair $1.16
Where to back Aliev best price · region · EV vs fair $1.13
US Caesars $1.14 +0%
UK Paddy Power $1.14 +0%
EU NordicBet $1.14 +0%
AU Betr (AU) $1.16 +2%
Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Aliev 45
2 Solecki
MBMTMM pick Aliev
How it endsmethod calls · Aliev · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $15.88
Submission 1 $15.88
Decision 12 $1.32
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Aliev 9-0 VS 13-5 Solecki
5'10" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 70"
25 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.5 strikes landed / min 2.0
51% striking accuracy 56%
0.5 strikes absorbed / min 1.8
59% striking defence 48%
3.1 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
44% takedown accuracy 46%
0% takedown defence 20%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market88% vs 86%
Consensus45 of 47 analysts
Sharpest angleAliev by Decision — 12 of 14 method calls
Recommendation Back Aliev @ $1.16 · fair $1.13 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MA MMA Attic picks Nurullo Aliev “starting off the night we're taking Nurullo Aliev at -450” $1.22
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Nurullo Aliev “gun to my head I'm gonna take Nurullo Aliev”
MA MMA Attic picks Nurullo Aliev “the model is pushing Nurullo Aliev at 62%”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Nurullo Aliev “my subscribers and I went with um nulo Ali um Nurullo Aliev is the favorite at minus 540 and Joe Solecki is the underdog at plus 400” $1.19
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Nurullo Aliev “vitória do Nurullo Aliev mas a od tá muito esmagada talvez não vha a pena entrar no Nurullo Aliev só no mais do que round meio o segundo round começa”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Nurullo Aliev “we got Joe Solecki vers Nurullo Aliev nulo Al stepping up to the stage Joe Solecki looks in pretty good shape here um but never bet against a man with a beard and no mustache that's the rule so we're not touching this fight but SOI does look in good shape”
MM Mayor MMA picks Nurullo Aliev “I'm just going to pick the big favorite Prospect”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nurullo Aliev “the official prediction is going to be Nurullo Aliev to win by a unanimous decision” $1.14
MP MMA Pros Pick picks Nurullo Aliev “I'm pretty sure n walks over with the w”
MP MMA Pros Pick picks Joe Solecki “I think he gets it done in this fight”
DS David STRIKESFIRST picks Nurullo Aliev “I actually see this guy from Tajikistan actually winning this bout if he wrestles um he just puts them down and does some Hammer fist puts them in a crucifix and just ground pounds them kind of like khabib Style”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Nurullo Aliev VALUE “give me Nurullo Aliev to grind this fight out and win it on the scorecards”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Aliev9-0
W Rock Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Solecki Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Alves Decision · R3 Feb '23
Solecki13-5
L Aliev Decision · R3 Jan '25
L Dawson Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Klose KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W III Submission · R2 Feb '23
W Coelho Decision · R3 Jun '22