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Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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AA
Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
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Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
CR
AB
Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
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Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
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JJ
Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MT
IP
Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TM
TO
Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JS
PP
Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
EK
NC
Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BL
MG
Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
FK
VD
Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NA
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Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Smith v Parsons
Welterweight
Our fair value
$1.21
best price $1.17
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Smith
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.21
US
FanDuel
$1.17
-3%
FanDuel
$1.17
-3%
UK
Betway
$1.17
-3%
Betway
$1.17
-3%
EU
EVE
Everygame
$1.17
-3%
AU
Unibet
$1.17
-3%
Unibet
$1.17
-3%
How it endsmethod calls · Smith · crowd line
KO/TKO
20
$1.27
Decision
1
$25.45
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Smith 11-0
VS
11-5 Parsons
6'2"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
72"
reach
71"
30
age
30
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
7.0
strikes landed / min
3.5
76%
striking accuracy
51%
1.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.1
54%
striking defence
55%
13.3
takedowns / 15 min
3.5
87%
takedown accuracy
36%
0%
takedown defence
71%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
2.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market83% vs 85%
Consensus40 of 49 analysts
Sharpest angleSmith by KO/TKO — 20 of 21 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jacobe Smith
“Jacobe Smith's my pick and I'm think I'm gonna go with Jacobe Smith”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jacobe Smith
“Jacobe Smith's my pick and I'm think I'm gonna go with Jacobe Smith”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“my subscribers went with Preston Parsons I went with jacobe Smith Preston Parsons is the underdog at plus 410 and um jacobe Smith is the favorite at minus 550”
$1.18
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“my subscribers went with Preston Parsons I went with jacobe Smith Preston Parsons is the underdog at plus 410 and um jacobe Smith is the favorite at minus 550”
$1.18
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“eu vou de parson vencer nesse Combate”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“eu vou de parson vencer nesse Combate”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I think Preston Parsons has a lot of potential in the UFC and I think he's extremely underrated ... I like Jacobe Smith a lot ... I think there's a really good chance this fight's actually an upset”
Ain't No Way MMA picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I think Preston Parsons has a lot of potential in the UFC and I think he's extremely underrated ... I like Jacobe Smith a lot ... I think there's a really good chance this fight's actually an upset”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Jacobe Smith
“Preston Parsons versus jacobe Smith I think Jacobe Smith wins it no value on the line not doing anything with that um batting line but it you know they looks about the same size”
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Jacobe Smith
“Preston Parsons versus jacobe Smith I think Jacobe Smith wins it no value on the line not doing anything with that um batting line but it you know they looks about the same size”
MM
Mayor MMA picks Jacobe Smith
“I'm taking jacobe Jacobe Smith”
Mayor MMA picks Jacobe Smith
“I'm taking jacobe Jacobe Smith”
LE
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“tiene sentido que gane Smith”
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“tiene sentido que gane Smith”
CY
CyanideSportsball picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I like Jacobe Smith here finally a fighter I know um coming in hot this should be a pretty easy win for him”
CyanideSportsball picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I like Jacobe Smith here finally a fighter I know um coming in hot this should be a pretty easy win for him”
DS
David STRIKESFIRST picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I say definitely go for Preston Parsons because that's a crazy Underdog and he's actually pretty good uh his standups real nice and clean and he can wrestle”
$6.50
David STRIKESFIRST picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I say definitely go for Preston Parsons because that's a crazy Underdog and he's actually pretty good uh his standups real nice and clean and he can wrestle”
$6.50
GM
GLO MMA picks Jacobe Smith
“I'm going to go ahead and pick uh Jacob Jacobe Smith”
GLO MMA picks Jacobe Smith
“I'm going to go ahead and pick uh Jacob Jacobe Smith”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I think he'll be able to keep Parson in bad positions and eventually grind this fight out to win on the scorecards”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I think he'll be able to keep Parson in bad positions and eventually grind this fight out to win on the scorecards”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Smith11-0
W
Harrell
Feb '26
W
Price
Jun '25
W
Parsons
Jan '25
Parsons11-5
L
Smith
Jan '25
L
Elliott
Jul '24
W
Semelsberger
Jan '24
L
Giles
Mar '23
W
Elder
Apr '22