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MD
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Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
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Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
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CC
Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
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Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
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Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BL
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Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
FK
VD
Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NA
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Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AR
Dern vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
SP
CH
Ponzinibbio vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
CA
AA
Almeida vs AlhassanMain Card · Middleweight
RK
CC
Kopylov vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
CR
AB
Rodriguez vs BashiMain Card · Featherweight
PS
UM
Soriano vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
FB
JJ
Bunes vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MT
IP
Tulio vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
TM
TO
Moisés vs OgdenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JS
PP
Smith vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
EK
NC
Kareckaitė vs CaliariPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BL
MG
Lopes vs GadzhiyasulovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
FK
VD
Kline vs DudakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
NA
JS
Aliev vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ribas v Dern
Women'S Strawweight
Our fair value
$1.58
best price $1.54
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Ribas
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.58
US
Bovada
$1.54
-2%
Bovada
$1.54
-2%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.53
-3%
EU
NordicBet
$1.54
-2%
NordicBet
$1.54
-2%
AU
Neds
$1.53
-3%
How it endsmethod calls · Ribas · crowd line
KO/TKO
6
$6.57
Decision
17
$2.32
None
2
$19.71
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Dern 14-5
VS
12-5 Ribas
5'4"
height
5'3"
116 lb
weight
116 lb
63"
reach
66"
33
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
4.6
39%
striking accuracy
40%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
51%
striking defence
61%
0.9
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
16%
takedown accuracy
51%
30%
takedown defence
85%
1.2
submissions / 15 min
0.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market63% vs 65%
Consensus63 of 99 analysts
Sharpest angleRibas by Decision — 17 of 25 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Mackenzie Dern
“Mackenzie Mackenzie Dernern Amanda Ribas the rematch of their fight you didn't remember then neither did I no actually I kind of do remember that fight just it wasn't that good so here it is again uh make sure to check out that video in the description down below that card is tonight 14 fights in the EVENT_Mackenzie DernETAILS first card here of 2025 there's no crowd like what what are we doing like just why”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Amanda Ribas
“I'm going for man Amanda Ribas in the than Amanda Ribas has since that first think Amanda Ribas gets it done”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Amanda Ribas
“my pick stays as Amanda Ribas Amanda Ribas is like the more looking up notice Amanda Ribas has the that Amanda Ribas positive energy flowing but look look at Amanda Ribas she's she's lifestyle yeah Amanda Ribas not all sorts it we're all on Amanda Ribas”
MA
MMA Attic picks Amanda Ribas
“the algo believes Amanda Ribas gets it done again so get your money down”
$1.49
EM
Elijah House MMA picks Amanda Ribas VALUE
“I'm going Mackenzie NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 and I think it's going to go the distance decision”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Amanda Ribas VALUE
“my subscribers and I went with Amanda Ribas McKenzie D is the underdog at plus 175 Amanda Ribas is the favorite at minus 210”
$1.48
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Amanda Ribas
“a Amanda Ribas venceu inclusive vencendo todos os rounds nessa época”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE
“vai dar uma vitória da mackin Mackenzie Dern”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE
“my girl Mackenzie Dern versus Amanda Ribas now watched this earlier Amanda Ribas is bigger than her she's taller she's got the reach that concerns me I put a unit on Mackenzie D um at plus 165 I'm sticking by it”
MM
Mayor MMA picks Amanda Ribas
“my prediction mandas”
LE
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Amanda Ribas VALUE
“me voy con Amanda Ribas”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Amanda Ribas VALUE
“Amanda heas going to beat her again... Amanda Ribas to win by decision”
$1.53
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Dern14-5
W
Jandiroba
Oct '25
W
Ribas
Jan '25
W
Godinez
Aug '24
L
Lemos
Feb '24
L
Andrade
Nov '23
Ribas12-5
L
Ricci
Jul '25
L
Dern
Jan '25
L
Namajunas
Mar '24
W
Pinheiro
Nov '23
L
Barber
Jun '23