UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2 · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
YG
Yanis Ghemmouri
v Payton Talbott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Yanis Ghemmouri
v Payton Talbott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“give me V Sola to get this one done I'm going to go with the underdog here Yanis Ghemmouri by nakad um okay yeah by nak for B Sol”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −14%
◆ entry$12.00
→
close$14.00
Ghemmouri’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.85
RT
Rei Tsuruya
v Carlos Hernandez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Rei Tsuruya
v Carlos Hernandez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“give me Rei Tsuruya man this guy's got really good grapping and he's got a really nice takedowns and he's also can strike on the feet I think it's going to be really dangerous the line's like unbeetable at this point and mean it's like minus 600 I think at this point orus 700 there's a lot of hype on this guy man he's fighting the road TFC has been Mark kako which is actually a good win over Mark kako Mark kako is I think he probably is a UFC level fighter but Ray beat him pretty convincingly I worked him give me Ray I think Ray can get this one done by submission”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.26
→
close$1.22
Tsuruya’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.25
MB
Martin Buday
v Andrei Arlovski
PROP · DECISION
WON
Martin Buday
v Andrei Arlovski
PROP · DECISION
WON
“give me Martin M by the seon minus 278 I'm not I'm not touching that minus 278 for Martin M I did pick aaz to beat him as a dog by the way so I don't really think too highly Martin but um I don't think he should be losing this one”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.41
Buday’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.36
RD
Roman Dolidze
v Anthony Smith
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Roman Dolidze
v Anthony Smith
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm going to go Junior Robertson by um by submission I think see can get the submission in this one I know see oh my bad okay I know see went out there and got a TK grounded p over um over who who he finished he finished that um I can't remember who she finished I think she finished um Paulie Yeah by TI because Paulie has high level G too I think see can get a submission I'm going to go with the jilan Robertson by submission”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.67
→
close$1.74
Dolidze’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.93
GR
Gillian Robertson
v Michelle Waterson-Gomez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Gillian Robertson
v Michelle Waterson-Gomez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“give me Pon talet all day way better shriker way better graper he's going to be better everywhere um he's got really he's got got speed on his side also way better combinations coming off that destruction over Cameron s where he absolutely destroyed him we did pick up to bit there in that spot over Ricky Simón and also subbed Nick aguire like in the third round he was getting a grapple in the first round but he doesn't have to worry about getting a grappled here he need worries most he just a striker is a kickboxer I don't think he really deserves to be in the UFC to be honest I mean he's got a couple wins in brav CF which is okay UA Warriors also but tbit he's got this one for sure tbit going to probably going to get a submission or something like that I'll go submission for he might get a k i could see him getting a KO but obviously that g gam fight I mean that was a body kick um now gamori was complaining that it was a cup shot I mean but it was a body kick I think and the referee called it off that was a weird stopage I mean but yeah I think T is going to be the way better Striker Way better grower also he can gra he can take this to the ground if he does doesn't like what's happening on the feed here give me Pon T by um I'll go by T I could see him I I could see him getting a submission the submission is tough money when they when they when they drop the props look for submission maybe I could see him getting a sneaky submission but I feel like he's going to keep it on the feet he's going to just strike with this guy he doesn't have like he's probably not going to Grapple if he doesn't have to I feel like so I'm going to go bu TQ for talit I think he can get he can get a t probably in the first round or so give me p and t by TKO”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.57
Robertson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.20
IG
Ian Machado Garry
v Michael Page
PROP · DECISION
WON
Ian Machado Garry
v Michael Page
PROP · DECISION
WON
“give me jeene Sila as an underdog I like JEA here man Jordanian looked pretty horrible in that Woodson fight I don't that was not a split this isn't they were fighting in Canada you 27 cards so they gave one judge had it for uh jordane he lost every round in that fight in my opinion I think he lost every round he was having trouble dealing with the reach and height hen over Ricardo ham is pretty terrible has some of the worst fighter he have seen has a win over Kon Gracie Kon gra is a BJJ nerd obviously l in Wood Shane bero fight the reason that was a close fight um this isn't majority the reason it was a majority decision cuz I think he had a 10 round and third round cuz Bergos was Gass he was dead Gass I think Jean Silva can strike with him on the feet I think he can land the better shots out there I think he can defend ton he's not going to get I don't think I don't see Jan wrapping up a submission over jeene Silva cuz jeene Silva is not as dumb as hicard Hamas he's going to shoot he's going to shoot a sloppy taked down and jordane now obviously Sila's kind of unproven at DC level has wi Kevin MOS is's a pretty good Prospect I mean Kos is out there winning fights and Reon MMA after losing to Jean Silva also three trains at fighting nerds I'm going to go with Silva I think Silva is a good in doog here I already have a B on Silva I'm going to go I like Silva I got him at plus 120 I think he's going to win um I think you can still get like plus 110 110 plus 120 out there in books on SOA I think you can strike with Jordan and he can also like land the better shots land some spinning back fist land some knees and stuff but jine is a high volume Striker you can land a lot of volume out there but I just think Sila is going to be landing the better shots out there um the line for this one right now is um Sila plus 110 you can still get him at plus 114 the line's actually coming down just a bit he was plus 160 I guess on some books out there a lot of money he's been pouring in on he was plus 164 on DraftKings opening odds there's been a lot of money coming in on U Jean Silva I like Jean Silva give me Silva to win by De seison I don't know if I see I don't think I see him finishing um jty J is tough man he's never been never been tked I think yeah he's never been Ted he's only finished L his third round submission and uh that was to uh Julian Rosa in the fight that I think he might have been winning that fight maybe I can't remember yeah my pick is Jean Silva by by this season”
Analyst’s stated line
$2.10
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
AP
Alex Pereira
v Jiří Procházka
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Alex Pereira
v Jiří Procházka
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“give me perra I think per will get this one on I think the reason he's taking this fight he's making a quick turnaround he didn't take any damage in that Jamal Hill fight and obviously dropped Jerry Pro he's a way better kickboxer he probably kickboxing match up now Jerry PKA did get a Tak down early on perah but perah was able to stay safe he was eating some elbows up but he wasn't really taking a whole lot of damage on the ground perra prka needs to make this fight dirty man he does what he needs to do he needs to make this fight dirty and uh rockas was beating him up early I had I had picked the proa there by second on Tio and he got the second on Tio but I don't really I think rockas came back after for the layoff I mean so I think he's getting tired he was trying to finish the pro ear he couldn't finish him him but he was like putting the work on project with those leg kicks and stuff so I think perah is going to be way better um like we already know how this fight went earlier but it was early stop hopefully we don't have Mark GD out there as a referee for this fight we need U we need someone like Gary Co not Gary cand we need someone like Mari yamasaki they better bring Mari yamaki back for this fight but give me perah I think perah will get this one done by K TKO again that's going to be my pick”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.67
→
close$1.72
Pereira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.65