UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · breakdown
Lerone Murphy Will Make It Happen. Evloev vs Murphy Full Card Predictions and Breakdown
LM
Luminary MMA55% hit
3 months ago
2W–5L · -2.7u
7/8 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
IB
Iwo Baraniewski
v Austen Lane
MONEYLINE
WON
Iwo Baraniewski
v Austen Lane
MONEYLINE
WON
“So, yeah, going with Iwo Baraniewski by round one KO, I reckon.”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.18
→
close$1.23
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
MP
Mário Pinto
v Felipe Franco
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Mário Pinto
v Felipe Franco
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“This is the easiest prediction of all time. I think Mario Pinto is really underrated. ... I'm going to be going with Mário Pinto, yeah.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
LS
Louie Sutherland
v Brando Peričić
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Louie Sutherland
v Brando Peričić
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going to be going with Louie Sutherland here, dude. ... I think Louie Sutherland can drag this into the later rounds and get a finish from there”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$3.17
→
close$3.30
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
SP
Sam Patterson
v Michael Page
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Sam Patterson
v Michael Page
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I say Sam Patterson could fluke this. I really do. ... I think Sam Patterson should be able to get a submission in this fight.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.70
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
SP
Sam Patterson
v Michael Page
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Sam Patterson
v Michael Page
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“I say Sam Patterson could fluke this. I really do. ... I think Sam Patterson should be able to get a submission in this fight.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.70
Patterson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Movsar Evloev
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Lerone Murphy
v Movsar Evloev
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going to go with Lerone Murphy here. I believe that the very long layoff of Evloev having been out since December of 2024, plus I'm not liking this the fact that he wasn't able to get into the UK until very, very recently. ... Plus the five-round experience, I think that Lerone Murphy's going to get this done by a very close split decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.15
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
LR
Luke Riley
v Michael Aswell
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
Luke Riley
v Michael Aswell
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
“I think uh >> [sighs] >> I think that Luke Riley could definitely make this tricky than expected. ... So, yeah, dude, I I see him getting a second round knockout probably, maybe first round.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56
→
now$1.56
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Movsar Evloev
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
Lerone Murphy
v Movsar Evloev
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
“I'm going to go with Lerone Murphy here. I believe that the very long layoff of Evloev having been out since December of 2024, plus I'm not liking this the fact that he wasn't able to get into the UK until very, very recently. ... Plus the five-round experience, I think that Lerone Murphy's going to get this done by a very close split decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.15
Murphy’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted