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Evloev vs MurphyMain Card · Featherweight
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Evloev vs MurphyMain Card · Featherweight
MP
SP
Page vs PattersonMain Card · Welterweight
IB
AL
Baraniewski vs LaneMain Card · Light Heavyweight
RD
CD
Dolidze vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight
KC
DS
Campbell vs SilvaMain Card · Featherweight
MJ
AS
Jones vs SolaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
NW
LK
Wood vs KeitaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
LS
BP
Sutherland vs PeričićPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MK
AT
Kondratavičius vs TrócoliPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MP
FF
Pinto vs FrancoPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
SR
AA
Rock vs Al-SelwadyPreliminary Card · Lightweight
SD
RO
Dyer vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Catchweight
LR
MJ
Riley vs Jr.Main Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Evloev v Murphy
Featherweight
Our fair value
$1.47
best price $1.44
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Evloev
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.47
US
BetOnline.ag
$1.43
-3%
BetOnline.ag
$1.43
-3%
UK
William Hill (UK)
$1.44
-2%
William Hill (UK)
$1.44
-2%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.43
-3%
Pinnacle
$1.43
-3%
AU
PlayUp
$1.42
-3%
PlayUp
$1.42
-3%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.45
How it endsmethod calls · Evloev · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$44.10
Submission
2
$22.05
Decision
27
$1.63
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Evloev 19-0
VS
17-0-1 Murphy
5'7"
height
5'9"
145 lb
weight
146 lb
72"
reach
73"
32
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.8
48%
striking accuracy
54%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
61%
striking defence
60%
4.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.8
46%
takedown accuracy
54%
71%
takedown defence
48%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market68% vs 69%
Consensus190 of 285 analysts
Sharpest angleEvloev by Decision — 27 of 30 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PI
PibbleMMA picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I would want to see Movsar Evloev get the finish”
PibbleMMA picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I would want to see Movsar Evloev get the finish”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Lerone Murphy
“I'm going to go with Lerone Murphy. I think Luron Lerone Murphy is going to be able to win this Lerone Murphy wins this fight by I'm going to go with Lerone Murphy to win ... Let's go Lerone Murphy.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Lerone Murphy
“I'm going to go with Lerone Murphy. I think Luron Lerone Murphy is going to be able to win this Lerone Murphy wins this fight by I'm going to go with Lerone Murphy to win ... Let's go Lerone Murphy.”
PW
P Welsh picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“Evo Lev 19-0 against Lerone Murphy 170 and one... I think Mosvar he's getting a decent price too... I think Movsar Evloev we'll do a recap... Mosvar Movsar Evloev.”
P Welsh picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“Evo Lev 19-0 against Lerone Murphy 170 and one... I think Mosvar he's getting a decent price too... I think Movsar Evloev we'll do a recap... Mosvar Movsar Evloev.”
LM
Loki MMA picks Movsar Evloev
“my brain says Mosar NOT_IN_ROSTER_1”
Loki MMA picks Movsar Evloev
“my brain says Mosar NOT_IN_ROSTER_1”
LM
Loki MMA picks Lerone Murphy
“we're going with the brain decision in this fight and take Movsar Evloev”
Loki MMA picks Lerone Murphy
“we're going with the brain decision in this fight and take Movsar Evloev”
LI
liltoaster picks Movsar Evloev
“Yeah, let me going Movsar Evloev. I'm also go Movsar Evloev. I'm going Movsar Evloev by decision.”
liltoaster picks Movsar Evloev
“Yeah, let me going Movsar Evloev. I'm also go Movsar Evloev. I'm going Movsar Evloev by decision.”
JP
Jpunt picks Lerone Murphy
“it's in EVENT_DETAILS and the main event, NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 versus NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 Lerone Murphy”
Jpunt picks Lerone Murphy
“it's in EVENT_DETAILS and the main event, NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 versus NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 Lerone Murphy”
TP
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I've got some bias on Evoyv... I think he's going to stick to his grappling all five rounds... My picks mobs are uh mobs are by decision.”
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I've got some bias on Evoyv... I think he's going to stick to his grappling all five rounds... My picks mobs are uh mobs are by decision.”
TC
The MMA Couch picks Movsar Evloev
“I think I'm going to go with Movsar Evloev by unanimous decision.”
The MMA Couch picks Movsar Evloev
“I think I'm going to go with Movsar Evloev by unanimous decision.”
AN
Andy_MMA picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I'm taking Lon Lerone Murphy to beat Mavar Evov via TKO in the fourth round.”
Andy_MMA picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I'm taking Lon Lerone Murphy to beat Mavar Evov via TKO in the fourth round.”
VI
VinceMMA picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I'm going Movsar Evloev by 49-46 decision.”
VinceMMA picks Movsar Evloev VALUE
“I'm going Movsar Evloev by 49-46 decision.”
TF
The Fight Forecast picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I like Lerone Murphy”
The Fight Forecast picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I like Lerone Murphy”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Evloev19-0
W
Murphy
Mar '26
W
Sterling
Dec '24
W
Allen
Jan '24
W
Lopes
May '23
W
Ige
Jun '22
Murphy17-0-1
L
Evloev
Mar '26
W
Pico
Aug '25
W
Emmett
Apr '25
W
Ige
Oct '24
W
Barboza
May '24