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UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
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ME LM Evloev vs MurphyMain Card · Featherweight MP SP Page vs PattersonMain Card · Welterweight IB AL Baraniewski vs LaneMain Card · Light Heavyweight RD CD Dolidze vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight KC DS Campbell vs SilvaMain Card · Featherweight MJ AS Jones vs SolaPreliminary Card · Lightweight NW LK Wood vs KeitaPreliminary Card · Featherweight LS BP Sutherland vs PeričićPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MK AT Kondratavičius vs TrócoliPreliminary Card · Middleweight MP FF Pinto vs FrancoPreliminary Card · Heavyweight SR AA Rock vs Al-SelwadyPreliminary Card · Lightweight SD RO Dyer vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Catchweight LR MJ Riley vs Jr.Main Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Rock over Al-Selwady · Lightweight Our fair value$1.69 LeoVegas (SE) pays above fair $2.02
Where to back Rock best price · region · EV vs fair $1.69
US Hard Rock Bet $1.83 +8%
UK Betway $1.91 +13%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $2.02 +20%
AU PlayUp $1.83 +8%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.82
Consensus146 picks · conf 99/99
Rock 110
36 Al-Selwady
WWITHM pick Rock
How it endsmethod calls · Rock · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $13.51
Submission 8 $5.07
Decision 13 $3.12
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rock 0-0 VS 15-4 Al-Selwady
— height 5'8"
— weight 155 lb
— reach 69"
— age 31
— stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 4.1
— striking accuracy 34%
— strikes absorbed / min 3.6
— striking defence 59%
— takedowns / 15 min 2.3
— takedown accuracy 30%
— takedown defence 20%
— submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market59% vs 50%
Consensus110 of 146 analysts
Sharpest angleRock by Decision — 13 of 24 method calls
Recommendation Back Rock @ $2.02 · fair $1.69 +20% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PI PibbleMMA picks Shaqueme Rock VALUE “I'm going Shaqueme Rock”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Shaqueme Rock “I do think Shaqueme Rock should get this done. He should win this fight.”
PW P Welsh picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady VALUE “I'm going Al Shawati here and I I could be 100% wrong on this one. This is a gut feeling you kind of just have to take. I just think he has a really good chance that if he comes in here healthy and ready to go that he's going to probably blitz Creek Shamrock”
TE Teep_Muaythai picks Shaqueme Rock “I've got Shaqueme Rock by decision.”
SM Surnett MMA picks Shaqueme Rock VALUE “I'm going to go with Shaqueme Rock here, I think.”
LM Loki MMA picks Shaqueme Rock “I really want to pick Shaqueme Rock”
AN Andy_MMA picks Shaqueme Rock VALUE “I'm going with the NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 Show Shaqueme Rock to get it done.”
NE NeverWrongMMA picks Shaqueme Rock VALUE “I think Shaqueme Rock is going to be able to utilize his pressure to get him into that situation and take him down. I also think... Give me Shaqueme Rock by round two sub.”
AN AntUFC picks Shaqueme Rock VALUE “I'm going with Shaqueme Rock by decision.”
MM Mayor MMA picks Shaqueme Rock VALUE “Shaqueme Rock.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Shaqueme Rock “I got Shaqueme Rock winning.”
NI Nick23mma picks Shaqueme Rock “I'm going to pick Shaqueme Rock because Ado Kareem,”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rock0-0
L Al-Selwady Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Aliev Decision · R3 Nov '25
Al-Selwady15-4
W Rock Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Radzhabov KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24