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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Kondratavičius v Trócoli Middleweight Our fair value $1.13 best price $1.14 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Kondratavičius best price · region · EV vs fair $1.13
US BetRivers $1.13 -0%
UK William Hill (UK) $1.14 +1%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $1.14 +1%
AU PlayUp $1.13 -0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.12
Consensus137 picks · conf 99/99
Kondratavičius 123
14 Trócoli
PTMWSW pick Kondratavičius
How it endsmethod calls · Kondratavičius · crowd line
KO/TKO 20 $1.42
Submission 4 $7.08
Decision 1 $28.31
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Kondratavičius 8-1 VS 12-5 Trócoli
6'3" height —
186 lb weight —
76" reach —
26 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 1.3
— striking accuracy 50%
— strikes absorbed / min 5.8
— striking defence 23%
— takedowns / 15 min 0.8
— takedown accuracy 11%
— takedown defence 50%
— submissions / 15 min 0.8
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market88% vs 88%
Consensus123 of 137 analysts
Sharpest angleKondratavičius by KO/TKO — 20 of 25 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LI liltoaster picks Mantas Kondratavičius “I'm picking Mantas Kondratavičius.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Antonio Trócoli “just a better MMA fighter here. Antonio Trócoli”
BM Bozing MMA picks Mantas Kondratavičius “I think it's going to be another first round finish.”
MT MMA Tugg picks Mantas Kondratavičius “He's not losing this fight. ... Give me Mantas Kondratavičius by knockout. ... Mantas Kondratavičius by finish.”
BR Bro$TalkMma picks Mantas Kondratavičius “going with Mantas Kondratavičius by decision or >> I'm taking Mantas Kondratavičius as well. You >> Mantas Kondratavičius”
MT MMAbouts Talks picks Mantas Kondratavičius “The next one, Mantas Kondratavičius Mantas Kondratavičius all day every day. I feel like But yeah, I think Mantas Kondratavičius.”
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Mantas Kondratavičius “Give me Mantas Kondratavičius to absolutely at plus 195.” $2.95
BO BotmfeederMMA picks Mantas Kondratavičius “Uh I want to go with Mantas Kondratavičius to win by knockout.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Mantas Kondratavičius “Mantas Kondratavičius gets it done by KO player at middleweight.”
TM The Ten7 MMA picks Mantas Kondratavičius “I to say that Mantas Kondratavičius wins this fight”
AO Armchair Octagon picks Mantas Kondratavičius “So, I'm taking Mantas Kondratavičius as well. I'm going to take Mantas Kondratavičius.”
MM MMA Mikey picks Mantas Kondratavičius “I got Mantas Kondratavičius to find a finish.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Kondratavičius8-1
W Trócoli Decision · R3 Mar '26
Trócoli12-5
L Kondratavičius Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Abdul-Malik Submission · R1 Dec '25
L Gore Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Magomedov KO/TKO · R3 Jun '24